Friday Squid Blogging: Illex Squid and Climate Change

There are correlations between the populations of the Illex Argentines squid and water temperatures.

As usual, you can also use this squid post to talk about the security stories in the news that I haven’t covered.

Read my blog posting guidelines here.

Posted on February 23, 2024 at 5:04 PM111 Comments

Comments

echo February 23, 2024 6:17 PM

Originally I had planned posting a few links to well formed points of view on the governance problems in the US, and some examples of increasingly bad governance in the UK. Then everything went completely nutty.

I daresay everyone has heard of or will be hearing of speakers are CPAC pledging to tear down democracy. Then politicians in the UK went la-la with Braverman’s claiming “Islamists” are in charge of Britian now in the Telegraph. She was joined by multiple Tory MP’s in parliament fanning the flames and some MP’s making targetting racist comments about another MP. Former Tory chairman Lee Anderson MP on GB News incited racist attacks against Sadiq Khan the mayor of London and riots. As if Lizz Truss couldn’t disgrace and embarrass herself any more she is merrily receiving Heritage Foundation money to speak at CPAC alongside Bannon of all people where she claims transgender people have taken over among many other far right tropes.

On top of the Tory government banning protests and beginning to talk up criminalising protest with as yet undefined “certain views” (presumably those which disagree with the government), they have also ordered arts funding to be cut for any political art (what art isn’t political), on top of a few years ago threatening awkward charities with opinions counter to government policy with their funding being axed.

Today I read of a well regarded judge resigning because she felt she was being targeted and her being in the job was becoming “political”. The Tory supporting right wing media are having a field day.

It’s days like this I feel so deeply ashamed of our legal system. When a brilliant judge has to quit simply because she’s trans, our judiciary seems anything but meritocratic, diverse and inclusive.

— Dr Charlotte Proudman, barrister, academic, and women’s rights campaigner.

I think it desperately sad that the UK’s only trans Judge has decided to quit because she has become a target. Victoria McCloud transitioned 3 decades ago & has been one of the finest & fairest judges we have.

— Nazir Afzal, former North West Chief Crown Prosecutor.

But now the piece I’ve been waiting a few days to post, and another separate last comment of remembrance. I am not as some know a big fan of authoritarian politicians and their culture war nor their role in the deaths of transgender children. It is with sadness I must report the untimely death of a US trans child Nex Benedict. After reading an initial report by an investigative blogger I didn’t expect the next day to find the story picked up by the Independent nor attract such attention and demands for action by senior US politicians. There are good people in the world.

https://www.pghlesbian.com/2024/02/grieving-nex-benedict-the-brutal-killing-of-16-year-old-nonbinary-student-in-an-oklahoma-high-school/

Nex Benedict (they/them) was a 16-year-old nonbinary youth living in Oklahoma. They endured a reportedly vicious beating in a high school bathroom of Owasso High School, Nex died the next day in the hospital. They were a sophomore. This was February 7 and 8th. Last week, Nex was in high school. This week, they were buried.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/nex-benedict-dead-oklahoma-b2499332.html

Oklahoma banned trans students from bathrooms. Now a bullied student is dead after a fight.

Nex Benedict died one day after a fight in a school bathroom. Their mother Sue Benedict tells Bevan Hurley that the gender fluid teenager endured more than a year of abuse simply for being who they were.

Some words by Nex Benedict’s mother Sue Benedict:

Nex Benedict should be here today. My heart breaks for their family, their friends, their community, and all the years they never got to experience. Every legislator, pundit, and promoter of anti-trans hate should feel this loss on their conscience.

Our hearts are heavy mourning the loss of Nex Benedict who was laid to rest one week ago. Nex was a 16-year-old nonbinary high school student of Choctaw ancestry in Oklahoma who enjoyed drawing, reading, and playing Minecraft.

Nex loved spending time in nature and with animals—most notably, Nex cared so deeply for their cat, Zeus. Nex should be alive today with their family and Zeus. Rest in power, Nex.

Cherokee Nation Chief and First Lady issued a statement:

“The death of Nex Benedict is a tragedy. As parent, the First Lady and I are heartbroken. As Chief, the health and welfare of all children within the Cherokee Nation Reservation is of concern.

Upon searching our database, we have no indication that Nex was a citizen of the Cherokee nation. However, Nex was a child living within our reservation and deserved love, support and to be kept safe.

As a partner of all law enforcement agencies across the reservation, I have asked the Cherokee Nation Marshal Service to offer its support to the Owasso Police Department in investigating Nex’s case.

The facts relating to Nex’s death are not yet fully clear. We should take care to support law enforcement and authorities as they investigate this matter.

However, the public statements expressed in response to Nex’s death move me to reaffirm a statement I made in january on the subject of celebrating diversity, equity, and inclusion in public education. ‘All children… benefit from learning in environments in which we celebrate diversity and recognize the dignity of everyone’s experience.’

The more we learn about Nex’s life, the more we come to know a wonderful child whose experience and identity mattered and was worth celebrating. Above all, Nex deserved to live a full life. It was cut tragically short. May Nex rest in peace.”

Words were also offered by prominent politicians:

Nex Benedicts death from a brutal assault in their high school bathroom is outrageous and heartbreaking. The anti-trans fervor fueled by extreme Republicans across the country is having deadline consequences for our children. We must stand up against anti-trans hate.

— Nancy Pelosi.

The killing of Nex Benedict is gut-wrenching and underscores the danger who are dehumanizing kids with anti-trans hate in Oklahomo and across the country. Every student should feel safe at school and supported for who they are. Nex deserves justice.

— Elizabeth Warren.

My heart goes out to Nex Benedict’s family, friends, and their entire community. To the LGBTQI+ youth who are hurting and are afraid right now: President Joe Biden and I see you, we stand with you, and you are not alone.

— Vice President Kamala Harris.

A local television company covers the story and provides details for a vigil to be held this weekend in memory of Nex Benedict.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ghca8d49-IE
What we know about the death of 16-year-old Owasso student

And lastly in the UK Dr Caroline Litman (a former NHS psychiatrist) is remembering the death of her trans daughter Alice who died on this day a year ago.

Today Alice should be turning 22 and celebrating with friends. Instead we take flowers to the crematorium. Abandoned by the NHS, laughed at by politicians, vilified by the media. We adored her [heart]

Everyone who publicly vilifies trans people, as if they are all monsters, shares responsibility for the misery they propagate and the harm THEY cause. Alice was an absolute sweetheart.

Toad February 23, 2024 9:21 PM

FTC To Ban Avast From Selling Browsing Data For Advertising Purposes

https://news.slashdot.org/story/24/02/22/183247/ftc-to-ban-avast-from-selling-browsing-data-for-advertising-purposes

https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/ftc-to-ban-avast-from-selling-browsing-data-for-advertising-purposes/

“The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) will order Avast to pay $16.5 million and ban the company from selling the users’ web browsing data or licensing it for advertising purposes.

The complaint says Avast violated millions of consumers’ rights by collecting, storing, and selling their browsing data without their knowledge and consent while misleading them that the products used to harvest their data would block online tracking.”

“”Moreover, the volume of data Avast released is staggering: the complaint alleges that by 2020 Jumpshot had amassed “more than eight petabytes of browsing information dating back to 2014.”

“More specifically, the FTC says UK-based company Avast Limited harvested consumers’ web browsing information without their knowledge or consent using Avast browser extensions and antivirus software since at least 2014.

Avast data feeds included unique identifiers for each web browser and a combination of info on every website visited, timestamps, type of device and browser, as well as the users’ city, state, and country. When describing its data-sharing practices, the company also falsely claimed it would only transfer the users’ personal information in an aggregate and anonymous form.”

ResearcherZero February 23, 2024 11:08 PM

@emily’s post, @Toad

The companies collecting this kind of material are a perfect target for exfil.

The joke is that privacy and confidentiality law is used as an excuse to avoid accountability, responsibility and transparency when requesting access to our data.

Due to that lack of accountability it is increasingly impossible to track or trace.

That kind of unwarranted collection is now completely out of hand. Many places have started photographing patrons on entry. There is a complete lack of appropriate legislation governing the collection of other people’s personal details, the means and methods used, or enforcement of secure storage and prompt and proper disposal of such details. Nor adequate disclosure laws or stiff enough penalties for violations.

Penalties should be much more severe for such blatant and deliberate violations of law!

Dates. The first port of call in a vetting process.

‘https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/23/how-bill-barr-assignment-led-biden-impeachment-effort-based-lie/

… “if Burisma succeeded in tapping into Ukraine’s gas deposits, it would help Ukraine gain energy independence from Russia”
https://apnews.com/article/37424b8a0a994c1a935c5831643a84e3

Guiliani searches for a clue…

‘https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/04/28/timeline-giulianis-dubious-interactions-with-trump-administration/

A few rungs down the ladder, on a lower level. 😐 🍇

‘https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-roots-of-giuliani-and-bidens-35-year-grudge-match

“dig up the evidence that presently exists and is there any other evidence…”
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/07/politics/rudy-giuliani-ukraine-call-investigate-biden/index.html

Dial Before You Dig 🚭

‘https://www.justsecurity.org/66271/timeline-trump-giuliani-bidens-and-ukrainegate/

ResearcherZero February 24, 2024 1:33 AM

Uncertainty breeds stress, and both are at all-time high levels.

‘https://theconversation.com/the-rise-of-the-irate-customer-post-pandemic-rudeness-and-the-importance-of-rediscovering-patience-200740

Life-altering changes in the rules of human engagement have left people anxious, and confused.

Some people may have thought that, having been prevented from mingling with other humans for a period, folks would greet the return of social activity with hugs, revelry and fellowship. But in many ways, say psychologists, the long separation has made social interactions more fraught.

https://time.com/6099906/rude-customers-pandemic/

How not to treat customer service on the other end of the line, or the store attendant:

“Hand over your flesh.” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aMvLtBvKAQ

— “We demand it!” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00TD4bXMoYw

Winter February 24, 2024 4:53 AM

@bone

Google apologizes after new Gemini AI refuses to show pictures, achievements of White people

The word I learned to use for these offended people is “Snowflakes”.

Nice to see that this qualification is not reserved anymore for “minorities “, but can now be used for every cultural movement in society.

Winter February 24, 2024 4:57 AM

@Anti-Socratic

the likes of Ivan Katchanovski have just a slightly different take on the Maidan and many related issues.

Indeed, one that ignores the opinions of the people involved and paints them, the Ukrainians, as peons without agency.

Their brave, heroic, resistance against a brutal invader shows those defamators of Socrates.

Clive Robinson February 24, 2024 8:00 AM

@ Winter, bone zone,

Re : History correction and Gemini

“Nice to see that this qualification is not reserved anymore for “minorities “, but can now be used for every cultural movement in society.”

It’s kind of what I expected and predicted would happen. See my original posting,

https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2024/02/new-image-video-prompt-injection-attacks.html/#comment-432736

Only not as fast as it happened.

I think that knowing the identity of the news outlet for the “snow flakes” and their editorial policy is as far as the rules of this blog will let me go in making comment 😉

echo February 24, 2024 8:09 AM

There’s a fair few US based news organisations and analysts and politicians and lawyers and other stakeholders are taking a very close look at governance and the far right threat at the moment. This kind of content posted on Youtube has gone up several notches over the past 2-3 weeks. There’s some good stuff in there.

I’m not responding much to CPAC. Honestly, my stomach churns listening to five seconds of their garbage. The problem is none of it is a joke. They mean it. I’ll wait for some analysis to drop so someone else can do the work of explaining.

Responding to the specific US (and international) far right agenda of anti-gender politics there’s a new multidisciplinary journal out soon and a new LSE panel discussion. Judith Butler is always good and from some choice quotes someone else made available she has some very sharp observations to make about the agendas of people like Bannon et al.

Yes, I know the eyes of every man within a blast radius of 50 miles will glaze over but this interesting stuff.

https://bristoluniversitypress.co.uk/new-journal-coming-soon-gender-and-justice

Bristol University Press
Feb 20, 2024
New journal coming soon: Gender and Justice

Bristol University Press is pleased to announce an exciting new journal launching in 2025: Gender and Justice.

Gender and Justice is an international and transdisciplinary journal dedicated to advancing critical feminist scholarship on justice in the social sciences, and from different methodological perspectives.

[…]

Gender and Justice champions world-leading research from authors in–but not limited to–the following disciplines:

    Sociology
    Criminology
    Socio-legal studies
    Gender studies
    Queer studies
    Economics
    Human geography
    Ethnography
    Anthropology

In addition, the editors support research that incorporates aspects of the humanities and the arts into research and practice.

And:

https://www.lse.ac.uk/Events/2024/02/202402221730/politics

London School of Economics

Transnational anti-gender politics and resistance
Thursday 22 February 2024 5.30pm to 7.30pm
Hosted by the Department of Gender Studies

Chair: Professor Clare Hemmings.
Guests: Professor Judith Butler and Tooba Syed

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AmLiW_tuyy0

London School of Economics
Transnational anti-gender politics and resistance | LSE Event

The owner of the far right propaganda channel GB News has far right opinions? Not a surprise.

https://hopenothate.org.uk/2024/02/22/revealed-the-shocking-tweets-of-gb-news-co-owner-sir-paul-marshall/ (Alt: https://archive.ph/C8Zcn)

Hope Not Hate.

Revealed: The Shocking Tweets of GB News Co-owner Sir Paul Marshall

The far right “pick me” Rishi Sunak staying mute about Russian sanctions busting when his family are still taking Russian money through the back door? Gosh. How did that happen?

https://news.sky.com/story/british-firms-exports-are-almost-certainly-bolstering-russias-war-machine-in-ukraine-sky-data-analysis-finds-13077660

British firms’ exports are almost certainly bolstering Russia’s war machine in Ukraine, Sky data analysis finds.

Items including drone equipment and heavy machinery are being sent from the UK to countries such as Kyrgyzstan, Armenia and Uzbekistan and are then being moved to Russia, analysis indicates. Exports to former Soviet satellite state Kyrgyzstan have risen by over 1,100%.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/22/europe-ukrainian-victory-alexei-navalny-vladimir-putin

‘Not losing’ is not enough: it’s time for Europe to finally get serious about a Ukrainian victory.

And:

https://www.disabilitynewsservice.com/dpac-returns-to-the-streets-for-active-resistance-to-dwp-cuts/

Disabled activists have announced a fightback against a series of “horrific” government social security reforms and have called for “active resistance” to the plans, starting with a national day of action and a protest in London early next month.

From top to bottom there’s governance to control of media narrative then there’s pushback.

I’m tacking this on as disabled people as well as people of colour and trans people have been specifically targeted by (have no illusions) a far right Tory government. They see the direction of travel and are getting ahead of this curve before the election.

Clive Robinson February 24, 2024 8:47 AM

@ emily’s post,

In my limited experience Squid are more likely to hunger for the soft squidgy stuff around the hard crispy shell of an M&M 😉

But as the saying has it, “There’s always an exception…”

As for the taking of photographs / video by vending machines what does it actually cost to “fit the camera” especially when you can by them “ready to go” for Raspberry Pi projects for less than $15USD?

Now compare that to “stock loss” from vending machine “shakers” who see as their entitlement “the drop of a can” or similar for a little expended muscle power…

But the question arises, as the collection of such video / photographs has “alleged” real value to marketing people who put their hands in their pocket and pay for such information… Why would a supplier of vending machines not want to take the money?

emily’s post February 24, 2024 11:11 AM

@ Clive Robinson

Squid are more likely to hunger for the soft squidgy stuff

You mean … not only do they like M&Ms but they also are cannibals ? Shudder, gasp … nature, red of tooth and claw …

echo February 24, 2024 11:31 AM

https://www.thegazette.co.uk/notice/4547224
The Gazette
Bankruptcy Orders
Miller, Daniel Shaffner

Daniel Miller, editor of a far right website and transphobe and racist and antisemite with links to the far right Spectator currently along with the Telegraph a target for takeover by the far right Paul Marshall, has just been bankrupted after losing a libel action against an anti-fascist researcher.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/21/chris-rufo-im-1776-far-right-desantis

Ron DeSantis ally Chris Rufo has close ties with ‘dissident right’ magazine

Relationship with IM-1776, which praises dictators and attacks liberal democracy, is collaborative and supportive

More information on Miller and his far right activity and sympathisers. Note also the link with transphobe Ron “gender affirming boots” DeSantis.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-lee-anderson-suspended-tories-32203220

Lee Anderson suspended by Tories as he refuses to apologise for ‘racist’ slur on Sadiq Khan

Ex-Conservative Deputy Chairman Lee Anderson has had the party whip suspended after he refused to apologise for claiming London Mayor Sadiq Khan is controlled by Islamists

Too little and too late and probably done just to buy time. Anderson (and Braverman and other Tories) need kicking out and prosecuting for racial incitement.

The BBC Twitter account is soft peddling it as “criticism” not “racist attacks”.

https://www.thepinknews.com/2024/02/22/liz-truss-trans-conservative-political-action-conference/

The UK’s shortest-serving prime minister, Liz Truss, has told a right-wing conference in the US that the UK civil service contains “trans activists” and “environmental extremists”.

Truss, who announced her resignation as prime minister after just 44 days in office in 2022, addressed an audience at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), at the National Harbor, in Maryland, on Wednesday (21 February).

She appeared on an international panel alongside Nigel Farage, the former leader of the Brexit party, former White House strategist and Breitbart executive Steve Bannon, and other speakers from around the world.

Given how quick Rishi Sunak was to endorse the far right Giorgia Meloni and speak at a conference she organised expect the usual slippery word salad and a shrug.

You can either look at them as people who were emotionally arrested in the 1980’s, or 1930’s. Whichever is easier. But this is how it begins unless it is stamped on hard.

Clive Robinson February 24, 2024 11:32 AM

@ emily’s post,

“… but they also are cannibals ?”

Apparently so, as far as some species are concerned…

But I was thinking more of other soft squidgy M&M consuming denizens of the dark… Yup those that get the munchies on the beach come spring break etc and make more of a tasty morsel.

It’s always amused my dark sense of humour, when seeing tins of rice pudding on shop shelves, what “Ambrosia” actually translated down to… With “food of the Gods” concerned actually meaning the prime bits of humans. And we supposedly made gods in our own image yup that’s a thought to amuse the dark side. 😉

lurker February 24, 2024 1:01 PM

@bone zone, ALL

Google’s AI seems to be simply agreeing with Gongsun Long, that a White person is not a Person, therefore cannot be depicted.

‘https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_a_white_horse_is_not_a_horse

Tempus fugit February 24, 2024 3:30 PM

@lurker,

As all “White Horses are Greys” does that mean all “White Humans are Pinkos”?

Just asking for a lady friend

“Meanwhile, the irreplaceable time escapes”

OV February 24, 2024 4:01 PM

Dear ostensible “Schneier.com”: Please STOP stalking members of Cephalopoda.

If your site has been getting hacked by outsiders and it’s not your fault, that could be understood also.

(Please STOP stalking Clams, Cuttlefish, Kraken, Mollusks, Octopi, Oysters, Slugs, Snails, Squid… ETCETERA).

What you seem to be doing is still rather harmful in treacherous and unpredictable ways. The risks and the damages cannot be “controlled”, even though maybe it has been, at first, “an accident”.

You probably already experienced some moments of uncertainty about this already.

Please do the better option, and shift your odd focus to something else entirely as an group(?), individual(s), etcetera.

If your site has been getting hacked by outsiders and it’s not your fault, that could be understood also.

Sincerely,

http(s)://i.postimg.cc/VkRVYt73/YouTube.png (RVY)
http(s)://youtube.pt/watch?v=e3lNNQol2CQ (Orbit)

[original author of this commentary is other than, different than, the couriers of this datastream]

Ray Dillinger February 24, 2024 4:33 PM

Note: Previous message mentioned U.Toronto.

My mistake. Should have mentioned U.Waterloo. Sorry.

echo February 24, 2024 6:11 PM

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_2024_Irish_constitutional_referendums

And:

https://www.ucd.ie/constitutional/t4media/Referendum%20guide%202024-1.pdf
A Guide to the Referendums on the Thirty-ninth and Fortieth Amendments to the Constitution

And:

https://www.irishlegal.com/articles/opinion-what-does-article-42b-mean-for-disabled-people

As a disabled person, my life has been the subject of conversations about care since I became a wheelchair user. It has always been at the forefront of my mind. What will happen to me if I ever lose independence? I consider it a privilege to be able to use my voice as a vehicle for my community.

The Republic of Ireland has an upcoming referendum to change their constitution. The first question is to accept or reject an amendment disappearing some misogyny in one section. The second question is more problematic. Many parents who aren’t rich and are caring for disabled children are worried about obligations to support carers being removed, and wondering what will happen to their children after they are gone.

One good question I read was “Would you vote yes on 42B #CareRef if it was incompatible with the UN Declaration on Human Rights? If not, why would you vote yes on it when it is incompatible with the UN Convention on the Rights of People with Disabilities?”

  1. Yes and 2. No seems to be the preferred recommendation. Some people think “No” and “No” forcing them to have a proper rethink would be ideal.

Anyone who thinks this subject matter has nothing to do with security needs a trot through geopolitics and relevant studies.

vas pup February 24, 2024 7:10 PM

AI chip race: Fears grow of huge bubble +++
https://www.dw.com/en/ai-chip-race-fears-grow-of-huge-bubble/a-68272265

“A global contest is underway to build powerful chips for the next generation of artificial intelligence. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is calling for a $7 trillion investment.

Sam Altman caused more than a stir in early February when he called for a $5 to 7 trillion (€4.65 to 6.5 trillion) global investment to produce more powerful chips for the next generation of artificial intelligence (AI) platforms. Many industry analysts were left open-mouthed at the figure cited by the OpenAI chief executive, which is equivalent to almost a quarter of the US federal budget.

Altman wants to solve some of the major issues faced by the AI sector, which includes a major shortage of chips and semiconductors needed to power large language models like his firm’s ChatGPT, the Wall Street Journal reported earlier this month.

“Right now, ChatGPT4 is only text,” Dylan Patel, chief analyst at SemiAnalysis, told DW. “But what if you add images, video, audio and motorized tactile feedback? And what if we assume that AI does outpace humans on all fronts? That is going to cost hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars.”

In the latest sign of the speed that AI is progressing, OpenAI last week unveiled a platform called Sora, for creating high-quality short videos from a simple line of text.

“There are many ways that China can obtain US chips through intermediaries. But those sanctions also encourage China to develop its own capacity and be less reliant on US chips,” the author of the book “The Master Algorithm” said.

Indeed, the US sanctions have emboldened Chinese leaders who have pledged to step up their investments in AI chip production.

“China is subsidizing AI chips to the tune of $250 billion over the next decade to build a manufacturing supply chain and catch up,” Patel noted. He said China is currently about four to five years behind Taiwan, the global leader in chip manufacturing, and two to three years behind in semiconductor design — a race currently being won by US chip firms.

Other countries may struggle to enter the AI chip-producing ring, as they don’t have huge tech firms to commit tens of billions of investments, like Microsoft — which backs Altman’s OpenAI and Google, which last year unveiled its own AI chip.

Economic historian Chris Miller, the author of the book “Chip War,” told DW that more countries have realized that ultra-high-speed chips have become a “strategic commodity,” amid the current geopolitical standoff between world powers.

He predicted that the US government and others “will be quite sensitive about where the chip plants are located and who’s involved in their production” to avoid autocratic countries like China from using AI for nefarious purposes.

NVIDIA is the market leader in AI chip design. The Santa Clara, California-based firm is now valued at $1.8 trillion, making it the third-largest company on the US stock market, trailed by the likes of AMD and Intel.

NVIDIA has seen its value rise by $296.5 billion in just the last month, which most analysts think is unsustainable.

“A lot of people, companies, countries are going to lose a ton of money. There’s going to be a lot of carnage,” he told DW. “But in the longer term, AI will be like the Internet. Who cares about the dotcom bust these days? The Internet is a reality, it’s all-pervasive and the basis for the next advancement in technology.”

lurker February 24, 2024 8:04 PM

@vas pup

William Stanley Jevons [1] might ask how you are going to power all those chips …

[1] ‘https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

Clive Robinson February 25, 2024 2:41 AM

@ ALL,

Is Space Weather hitting you?

Because AT&T allegedly “goofed up” the other day and their mobile network went splat into the dirt, some journalists claimed incorrectly it was due to a major X-Class flare (which it was not).

I’m not going to go into the details of why as the physics behind propagation of radio signals is apparently dull to some of this blogs readers (and no doubt they were happy having the peace and quite of no cell service).

However GPS systems were interfered with to a certain extent during the day time hours, which is very much both a Security and Safety issue.

Now later to day expecting to be starting around 0900UTC we are going to get hit by some more “fun from the Sun” that may effect your local daytime GPS usage.

Have a look at the predictions from 9mins in on Dr.Tamitha Skov of Millersvile Uni Space Weather forcast,

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=V-PQSkYYEB4

And please take heed of the GPS warnings I don’t want to hear in the general news that your car told you to drive in to a canal, or that your property got savaged by a little robot truck trying to deliver a hot lunch to a hungry student (even when nobody gets hurt the stories quickly loose the humour).

lurker February 25, 2024 4:39 AM

@Clive Robinson

Fun Fact: the current Active Region of interest AR3590 is half as big in surface area as the one that Carrington saw …

Clive Robinson February 25, 2024 4:45 AM

@ vas pup, lurker, ALL,

Re : Chips are more than hot in AI

There is a lot to talk about on the “environmental harm” of AI, but of more importance is what other harms AI can do.

There is a lot of talk about AI becoming a “strategic tool for Governments” bubbling up[1] and this is a very real red flag and of considerable alarm to those who have studied in odd areas like economics and history.

Put simply getting answers faster and taking action faster may get you the inside track on an OODA loop but it leads to exponentially growing instability and chaos.

As the OODA loop tightens the paths of the actors become an ever tightening and capabilities wise “downward spiral” especially for the actor on the inside track. As the ability to follow the stages of the loop become reduced or eliminated.

If you look at the actual Boyd drawn diagram rather from 1996 rather than the simplified loop diagrams that have been popularised you will note that it’s not all “feedback loops” there is a “feedforward loop” which some have called “shoot from the hip”. It short circuits the decision / thinking process and is based on the Military idea of “no thought actions” that are “developed in training” such that they become responses like “snatch back” when you touch something hot.

Such automated responses in evolution are usually defensive in nature to prevent harm to an individual and usually go down the flight not fight path. Thus your monkey brain sends you up a tree when it thinks there is a predator stalking you. It essentially gives your human brain time to further evaluate and think / decide.

In OODA terms a flight response gets you back to the “Observe” stage with time to correctly “Orient” based on all data available, then make appropriate “Decisions” on the data, and then and only then take an appropriate and measured “Action”.

What happens when you short cut to “Act” and the response is programmed on the fight path is not just nasty but very very unpredictable in outcome. It is at best chaotic and more often than admitted at random in effect giving rise to considerable harm.

Thus if you “shoot from the hip” when startled it’s very unlikely you will hit a target that has any real potential harm to you. And if others can shoot then your shot will result in a much higher probability you will be shot and a “circular firing squad” result.

But look at it another way, you are in a park you hear a bang so on “worst case scenario” fight response you machine gun the crowd… You later find out the bang was a car back firing…

You can make a reasonably certain bet that Governments will make these pre programmed responses be Kinetic or Equivalent based on the “worst case scenario” thinking from War Hawks and the like. As that is what causes the billions of dollars to flow out of taxes and into the Military Industrial complex pockets and some very small part flow back to compliant legislators and civil servants.

The problem is such AI systems will just become the new “arms race” and it will turn out to be a disaster.

How do we know this, have a look at all the nonsense that goes on in High Frequency Trading and you will see just how stupid things can get with pre programmed responses.

[1] One such source worth a look over is,

https://www.oodaloop.com/archive/2024/02/22/microsoft-and-openai-issue-a-stark-report-and-a-10m-bounty-from-the-state-department/

Ignore the US State Dept bounty on ransomware it’s not really relevant.

Clive Robinson February 25, 2024 7:13 AM

@ lurker, ALL,

Re : Is it firing blanks and if not in what direction.

“the current Active Region of interest AR3590 is half as big in surface area as the one that Carrington saw”

It’s something I’m mindful of.

The Carrington event of 1859 mostly went unnoticed at the time[1] as “long wires in the air” of a mile or more were not just very uncommon but did not in any way effect the lives of over 99.9% of the population. And the very few long wires in the air at the time mostly ended in fairly robust electro-mechanical devices and water jar primary cell batteries.

Today much of the first world outside of Europe is like a bunch of Xmas / fairy lights chucked across a hedge. Unfortunately the lamps have been replaced with ultra sensitive microchips and similar that are nowhere near as robust as electromechanical devices.

Part of what I do is explain to modern designers how to EmSec proof equipment and why even moderate amounts of RF can cause no end of trouble (generally less than 100Watts and you can be a little sloppy, at 1000Watts or more things melt and catch fire as well as severely burning people in the blink of an eye and so a 6-Sigma quality approach is not unreasonable).

Trying to explain why CME and EMP effects are very qualitively different and need different approaches can be like pushing rocks up hill with your nose[2]…

Any way before we get a Carrington event three things have to happen,

1, The AR needs to do more than flare, it needs to actively kick out a “metric 5hit ton” of matter not to dissimilar in mass to a small planet.

2, Some part of that mass needs to be in Earths direction.

3, The duration needs to be long enough to cause harm.

The R3 effect we had the day AT&T dropped the ball was from an X-Class flare and produced effects upto 14GHz which is very rare (and screwed up many astronomical observations accordingly). But there was no mass heading our way. Like firing blanks it was all noise and thankfully no kinetics.

We may not be as lucky with the next few ARs we could easily get a CME of Carrington proportions that could take out primary power grid infrastructure and anything attached to wires not below ground. As for EMP arrestors they could easily end up as “toast” with a decent CME.

[1] The Carrington event was an epoch in history where we first had the ability to see what a strike from a CME can do to technology. CME’s happen all the time and there would have been thousands before 1859. They have a cycle that is not to dissimilar to the 11year Solar cycle, but most of them miss us. Which is why they tend to hit earth about every 10-15 solar cycle durations. It your fingers are working you will realise we are “overdue” a CME event, and most experts give you a hollow laugh if you ask “Are we ready?” The Americas in particular are particularly vulnerable as are those nations that have been playing the rapid technological catch up game such as much of Asia… When a CME of significant strength does hit, much of our modern world will stop. The result will likely follow the rule of threes as 100% of the people in the First World are entirely dependent on “grid power” in one way or another, even if they have “back-up”. Be it for communications, primary services, food storage and waste removal, health care etc even the trucking of oil/petrol will all become detrimentally effected. Some who have done modeling say 85-95% of the population dead in the three to twelve month period…

[2] To see why I’m not going to describe it as it would require a lot of strain on my typing pinky, instead watch,

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=XQwv02RP8F4

Note it’s a very brief intro, and he does not go into protection devices and their energy dissipation issues. Nor does he talk about the different types of nukes that can be used. We don’t hear much about “neutron” devices though we know Russia was playing around quite recently with a “Pluto” device which is in effect a hypersonic ram jet missile using an unshielded very dirty nuclear reactor that spews out neutrons in very high quantities that can be flown around for weeks or months. The original US Pluto project can be read about at,

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Pluto

Jelo 117 February 25, 2024 11:27 AM

@ echo

One of the 3 great political figures of the 20th C, Luigi Sturzo, said

“Quando non si accetta la battaglia delle idee si finisce sempre nella battaglia di sangue”

——> insert google translated here <———-

You make commentary on news items which seems to invite debate, but then make pronouncements that amount to total detraction of any person who might disagree. As a typical example, a video you praised characterized as “debate” a microscopically short one-sided encounter.

Are we to conclude that you seek polarization and the curtailment of debate so the “battaglia di sangue” can be hastened ? Are you here in good faith ?

echo February 25, 2024 12:58 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yD6UukSbAMs

Who’s Afraid of Gender? | Judith Butler’s public lecture at University of Cambridge 2023

Academic introductions can be long but the one in this video is worth listening to.

This discussion is pertinent to the current geopolitical and domestic security picture as clearly pointed out by Butler in their opening remarks.

For anyone wondering why I refer to Butler as they/them it’s because Butler is None Binary although Butler also accepts the pronouns she/her.

JonKnowsNothing February 25, 2024 2:56 PM

@echo, All

re: @e: Nazis mingle openly at CPAC

You may not know that much about USA history but this is not New News. Such folks have been around for a very long time, using one name or another, since Dirt Was Invented by the USA.

Much of that history is under-recorded, so you might have to do historical archaeology as it predates computers. It predates the USA Civil War also.

A humorous view is an old comedy movie

  • Cold Turkey 1971

It can be paired with another comedy

  • The Russians Are Coming, the Russians Are Coming 1966

You will see not much has changed in the last ~60yrs.

  • Everyboody Geet Frum Streettt!

===

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_Turkey_(1971_film)

  • Cold Turkey is a 1971 satirical comedy film
  • In the film, the fictional Valiant Tobacco Company stages a publicity stunt, offering $25 million tax-free dollars to any American town whose entire population can stop smoking cigarettes for a month. A charismatic, ambitious preacher, Reverend Clayton Brooks, encourages the depressed small town of Eagle Rock, Iowa, to take on the challenge.

ht tps://en.wikip edia.org/wiki/The_Russians_Are_Coming,_the_Russians_Are_Coming

  • The Russians Are Coming, the Russians Are Coming is a 1966 American Cold War comedy film
  • A Soviet Navy submarine called Sprut (Russian: Спрут, lit. ’Octopus’) draws too close to the New England coast one September morning when its captain wants to take a good look at North America and runs aground on a sandbar near the fictional Gloucester Island, off the New England coast, with a population of about 200 local residents. Rather than radio for help and risk an embarrassing international incident, the captain sends a nine-man landing party, headed by his zampolit (lit. ’political officer’) Lieutenant Yuri Rozanov, to find a motor launch to help free the submarine from the bar.

Clive Robinson February 25, 2024 6:26 PM

@ Moderator,

With removing @echo’s nonsense and my reply pointing out just how offensive her nonsense was…

You have left it open for her further vituperation as seen above. But this time she tries harder to hide her true self, pretending she was joking or other which she was clearly not.

But if you had left them undeleted others would have know her base behaviours and how false her LGBTQ+ etc pretences are.

As she had stupidly come through clearly for all to see as a faux-personality putting up a pretense of some person of import to hide her continuing calumny.

I suggest you consider restoring the two comments for the record.

Failing that you have other options that you have used in the past.

But one thing is clear beyond all doubt she is not going to stop her behaviours and is not limiting herself to just one individual any longer and increasing her range of targets. She has further indicated a few days back she is going to very disruptively fill this blog with 60 Pages of her “put her self in the hero” Walter Mitty style notes / comments. Which based on what she has posted so far are of little relevance as they involve arcane UK Politics and are of the sort you specifically prohibited in the past.

ResearcherZero February 25, 2024 10:31 PM

‘https://www.foxnews.com/world/russia-reviving-influence-tactics-destabilize-european-countries-uk-report-says

‘https://static.rusi.org/SR-Russian-Unconventional-Weapons-final-web.pdf

‘https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/02/sudan-horrific-violations-and-abuses-fighting-spreads-report

‘https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/australias-defence-staff-actively-targeted-by-foreign-intelligence-officials-as-asio-officials-warn-of-unprecedented-threats-of-espionage/news-story/c910a57af35cbf405c509d0c9f376863

“Any system relating to communications or repeating signals could easily have military application.”

‘https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/25/where-freedom-meets-repression-australian-academics-tread-a-fine-line-over-ties-to-iran

ResearcherZero February 25, 2024 11:27 PM

‘https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/duheme-rcmp-leaks-1.7121442

(RCMP website was also down but that may be unrelated)

PRC actors have long used tools like SonarX and fake accounts to monitor and manipulate.

SQUAD 912 uses accounts on social media designed to look authentic and not appear controlled by PRC actors…

“Group members and others affiliated with the Group have attempted to recruit U.S. persons to act as unwitting agents of the PRC by disseminating PRC propaganda or narratives. …Specifically, the Group works to extend the reach of the PRC government’s authoritarian policies and practices beyond its national borders by silencing, harassing and threatening dissidents and activists living abroad in the United States and other countries.”

Group members and activities:

‘https://www.justice.gov/d9/2023-04/squad_912_-_23-mj-0334_redacted_complaint_signed.pdf

“Zhang Haoran and Tan Dailin – are charged in a third indictment with collaborating with both groups.”
https://symantec-enterprise-blogs.security.com/blogs/threat-intelligence/apt41-indictments-china-espionage

APT41 malware linked with (C2) infrastructure hard-coded into the malware’s source code and Chengdu 404. (Chengdu 404 served as a legal front for APT41’s’s illegal activities)

‘https://www.lookout.com/threat-intelligence/article/wyrmspy-dragonegg-surveillanceware-apt41

— A thread describing purpose built hardware that can crack WiFi passwords, track down WiFi devices and disrupt WiFi signals. (translations and images from the i-SOON GitHub dump)

‘https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1759326049262019025.html

(further details on target selection, information gathering and software tools used)

‘https://blog.bushidotoken.net/2024/02/lessons-from-isoon-leaks.html

Kevin February 26, 2024 12:17 AM

In Australia, there’s a ‘new’ service being offered to ‘assist’ when applying for a bank loan.

Lenders can direct their applicants to this website (https://www.bankstatements.com.au), which then asks applicants to input all their bank logins and passwords, so that the system can retrieve all the financial history it needs for your loan application.

So easy! And totally secure. And totally NOT against the T&Cs that the banks have about NEVER disclosing your password to anyone… /s

ResearcherZero February 26, 2024 3:32 AM

The region has been plagued by cable cuts in the past.

‘https://gulfif.org/the-next-casualty-of-the-red-sea-attacks-undersea-cables/

When it comes to Egypt and the Red Sea, there are limited options…

‘https://www.wired.com/story/submarine-internet-cables-egypt/

“…we estimate that over half of many countries’ inter-regional bandwidth is connected to Europe via Red Sea cables.”

The Red Sea carries about 17% of the world’s internet traffic along fiber pipes. Over 90% of all Europe-Asia capacity is carried by cables in the Red Sea.

‘https://blog.telegeography.com/the-red-sea-a-key-subsea-cable-crossroads-under-siege

…Inconvenient. Worse if wider access is disrupted in the region.

‘https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-vpn-banned-internet-restrictions/32832544.html

Clive Robinson February 26, 2024 6:11 AM

@ Jelo 117, ALL

Re : Moving down the nano hole.

“What makes one think ?”

If you look back on this blog you will see that it’s been an area of interest not just to me but some others.

I first became worried when in the UK Tony Blair PM set up “The number ten Nudge Unit”. At first it sounded like just general populace propaganda unit, kind of like PR by Marketing.

Not long after there was a “Warning Sign Post”[1] with the,

“Today is a good day to release bad news”

Email scandal. And a “head rolled” all be it briefly, but it revealed a mindset that was becoming more prevalent to the point of ubiquity in certain government circles.

Later we were to find out about Cambridge Analytica / Facebook.

It’s been postulated that Donald Trump’s use of social media to become US President was contrary to the “doing it on the cheap” view a fairly considered and evaluated action based on the then known neuroscience. However so far nobody has publicly shown a link from researchers to Donald Trump or his team (except for a tentative “maybe through the Mercers” and their Russian operation for deniability).

The point is if people have been alert they would have picked up on it as the “Second Signpost”.

But moving on to the more technical side, directed energy weapons that act on the brain have been known for some time. What has only become clear in more recent times is “small insults accumulate invisibly in the brain”. It’s something the US NFL had to learn the hard way and if followed logically would be the death of US football and other contact sports. Have a look at what is called “Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy”(CTE) the damage it does to the brain has not been diagnosable with medical imaging except in autopsy tests. However,

‘https://www.bumc.bu.edu/camed/2023/02/06/researchers-find-cte-in-345-of-376-former-nfl-players-studied/

Suggests there is no smoke without fire, which will be of little comfort to those who have “Havana Syndrome” which was mentioned in the talk. However evolution does have something to say on the matter with the likes of woodpeckers having very distinct protective structures for the brain that humans lack.

But if you want to see a “first signpost” for CTE look up “Miners white finger” and similar,

‘https://www.theguardian.com/uk/1999/jan/23/2

It goes back to atleast the 1960’s.

But now consider diabetic neuropathy, a simple molecule we call sugar can kill the peripheral nervous system. A question I’ve not had answered when I asked some years ago was ‘Why does it shows up in the “Peripheral Nervous System”(PNS) but not the “Central Nervous System”(CNS)?’

I suspect you might suspect from now knowing of CTE that it’s a ‘diagnostic issue’ because the signs and symptoms are not obvious in the same way. That is physical sensation degradation of the PNS can be measured “with a feather and a pin”, but how do you measure small behavioural changes in the CNS?

But on issues mentioned, one to keep your eye on for the future is what we are begining to see with nano plastic particulates and their build up in the body,

‘https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/are-plastic-particles-in-bottled-water-harmful-to-health

Think first how that is potentially a health care crisis in the making due to neo-con mantras making tap water increasingly seen as “unsafe” so people now increasingly drink bottled.

Now consider how you could weaponise it?

The simple addition of a metal to the nano particle could have some really devastating neurological effects, because nano particles are known to accumulate in lipids, and the insulation around neurons is lipid based. Thus potentially having similar effects to epilepsy.

One thing that was not mentioned was DNA tagging pathogens. It’s a ScFi idea going back a long way. The idea is that something unique in your DNA etc can be used to trigger or more likely amplify the effect of a pathogen thus only attack you or those very genetically close to you.

Whilst it sounds beyond the realms of possibility is it?

The answer is no, as we know from viral pathogens that kill one species yet have little or no effect on other species. C19 was in effect living proof of this for everyone to see in how a pathogen could jump into other species that then became “reservoir species” as they were minimally effected. The only open question as it were is just how selective can you make it?

Which also brings up another question. Studies on genetic twins separated at birth show that even though brought up in different environments their basic life patterns especially sociologically are very similar. It’s caused quite a bit of debate in the “nature v nurture” domain of enquiry. In part because it feels like “predeterminism” or at best free will is constrained. Some have leapt on it as an excuse for “criminal family born” and similar.

Let us suppose for a moment it were true, and “right wing thinking” has a genetically identifiable basis. Imagine making a pathogen that is debilitating but not lethal with a slow recovery time that is amplified in those people. What would happen if you released it a few days or so prior to an election?

Would it suprise you to find out that research money is available for genetically sensitive pathogen research?

[1] There is a trueisum of,

“There are three signposts to disaster”

With the the three signposts being,

1, The first only visible with hindsight.
2, The second visible to those who have considered foresight.
3, The third visible to all who can think.

With the first being the start of the journey down the slippery slope. The second being the tipping point or start of the snowball roll. With the third in effect being the thunder of hooves, or roar of the avalanche, that as my father made clear to me a little before I became a teen, is something telling you “now is a good time to be somewhere else whilst you still can”. He also made clear if you see a second signpost you have two options try and stop the inevitable, or walk away calmly to safer ground taking those you value with you.

Clive Robinson February 26, 2024 7:42 AM

@ ResearcherZero, ALL,

Re :Cyber War by Sub-Sea cable cutting

With regards,

“The region has been plagued by cable cuts in the past.”

I’ve mentioned it several times over the years as a “physical choke point” for information flows and security. As in the past I’ll give a link to a world map where people can eyeball for “choke points”,

https://www.submarinecablemap.com

In a case of synchronicity just a day or so ago I mentioned the “accidents” of small anchors and big ships that sail off into the night.

@ ALL,

For those not familiar with sub sea cable laying, sabotage, and repair, untill very recently in the basics little has changed since the time Brunel’s SS Great Eastern was used, and it’s much the same as for recovering lost anchors in harbours etc.

Put simply untill recently you droped a modified small anchor called a grapple over the stern and dredged it across the known or assumed cable path and haul or cut-n-haul it up when hooked and this method is still used as it does not involve very expensive vessels, technology, and specialist personnel.

However since “Remotely Operated Vehicle”(ROV) tech has come of age for subsea work the procedure has been refined but it’s still commercially basically “dredge it up” for repairs across the stern of a cable vessel.

What has changed though in the past few years is “min-subs” and larger used as “diving bells”. Thus enabling divers for certain nation states to covertly find a cable and attach surveillance or other remotely operated devices to sub sea cables. China is known to not just have the technology but to have used it in the South China Seas, as part of an on going series of destabilisation attacks.

If you want a starting point to get a handle on it,

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine_communications_cable

JonKnowsNothing February 26, 2024 8:14 AM

@Clive, All

re:

@C:

“There are three signposts to disaster”

1, The first only visible with hindsight.
2, The second visible to those who have considered foresight.
3, The third visible to all who can think.

When explaining to some folks that “There is a problem here…” you get a few common responses.

  • Chicken Little
  • Crying Wolf

Neither of these means the problem is Not There, it’s just folks do not want to be bothered.

  • I’ll worry about that when it happens…

Which leads to

  • @C: second signpost you have two options try and stop the inevitable, or walk away calmly to safer ground taking those you value with you.

You may not even get “those you value” to pay attention. When confronted by an “inevitable” beyond your personal control, you might well be advised to “take the safe path” alone.

Things already on the Second Signpost

  • Wars on going – UKR, Gaza, Yemen, more tbd in Europe

From these one should be taking very amble notes about how fast everything ends up in the shitter. No food, No water, No safe haven, No utilities. Although, smartphone still seem to work as their batteries can be charged from simple portable solar panels.

  • Global Pandemics – C19, H5N1, ASF, plus the historical ones TB, Polio, Measles

Humans are messy and we are not all that robust when it comes to being colonized by bacteria and viruses. Our food supply is highly threatened by both virus and bacterial contamination. Global climate change is not helping, as it shifts the areas in which these things can survive into new locations. In Central California we now have nearly all the diseases found in Middle East. Various mosquito vectored encephalitis, malaria, and nasty stuff like Zika.

  • Global Climate Changes – weather patterns, wars, politics

Weather patterns may be shifting, but even if you are a skeptic about the cause, the effects are obvious in affected locations.

The important parts to note are

  • Food Supply
  • Water Supply

That covers most of the human problems. Food Supply Shock. Water Supply Shock.

RL tl;dr

I do not have a fancy bolt-hole like the billionaires who stock theirs with caviar. I have a patch of dirt within an accessible distance. I have some supplies and potable water at the site. I have camping kit there and enjoy nice weather picnics.

Years ago, when I purchased this spot, people said

  • Why Bother? There’s no shopping malls near. Too far from restaurants.

I told them

  • That’s exactly the point

Now, when I tell people about the picnic spot, they are far less likely to worry about how far it is from a restaurant, but take note to assemble their own camping and supply kit.

It might be note worthy to expect, that you yourself will not make it to the bolt hole. The duration of the problem(s) may make the bolthole aspect immaterial. Enjoy the view and picnic while you are able.

===

http s://en.wikipe dia.org/wiki/Chicken_little

  • Henny Penny”, more commonly known in the United States as “Chicken Little” and sometimes as “Chicken Licken”, is a European folk tale with a moral in the form of a cumulative tale about a chicken who believes that the world is coming to an end. The phrase “The sky is falling!” features prominently in the story

h ttps://en.wi kipedia.org/wiki/The_Boy_Who_Cried_Wolf

  • The Boy Who Cried Wolf is one of Aesop’s Fables
  • The tale concerns a shepherd boy who repeatedly fools villagers into thinking a wolf is attacking his town’s flock. When an actual wolf appears and the boy calls for help, the villagers believe that it is another false alarm, and the sheep are eaten by the wolf.

Clive Robinson February 26, 2024 9:55 AM

@ JonKnowsNothing, ALL,

Re : The times they are a changing[1]

“You may not even get “those you value” to pay attention.”

That unfortunately is true and why some nolonger live with or even have contact with those they once “valued”.

My father had a point on this which amplified the social side of “You can lead a horse to water…” which was,

“If you are right you won’t be thanked but hated, and if you are wrong you will be reminded constantly, you can not win, but if you don’t try will you forgive yourself?”

Well… In one case after a quarter of a century I feel no guilt or shame. For others well I did say…

Which brings me onto, as you know some think of me as a “prepper” because I take a little time to run a pantry and make preserves and do canning and such like as was common less than a lifetime ago.

With recurrent bouts of ill health I have to build for the lean times whenever there is a little surplus I call it “being sensible” or “prudent” if you prefer.

But also as you know relying on a freezer is not a good idea when the utility company PG&E does the beo-con thing and just throws the switch rather than do the required preventative maintenance for “Shareholder value”.

If you “can” food sensibly you can have as many “ready to eat meals” as you want in shelf stable form whenever you can not otherwise do so. Yes I’ve eaten cold Irish Stew fat and all out of the jar after a year of sitting on the shelf along with home made “oat scotchies” I’d also made. Because building works down the road had nuked the mains power and it was out for quite some time (yes I did eventually dig out the camp stove, there’s only so long a man can go without a cup of “strong Brownian motion generator” 😉

I also use a large thermosflask as a “tea pot” you fill it in the morning and you don’t have to wastefully boil a kettle through the day. Other energy saving can be done by “hay box cooking” put simply you chop up meat and start browning it and onions and even carrots then add the other chopped veg and add about twice the volume of water. Bring the pot to the boil and take it off and put in the hay box. It then carries on cooking for several hours whilst you are at work etc. In the evening you have stock/soup and stew hot and ready to consume. I use a pressure cooker as the pot as it just makes life a whole lot easier especially if you then go on to “can in the microwave” the excess for a weeks supply of main meals etc. It’s no different to “slow cooking” only you don’t have to keep it drawing electricity through the day which can save you a lot of money on energy bills. Even buying thick curtains and use LED lights can save you a massive amount. Basically over 90% of the modern home electricity bill is moving heat around you can minimize your bill by much if not most of that if you stop drafts tripple glaze use heavy curtains and as in times past hang “tapestries” or heavy cloth an inch from your inside walls. Making your bed into a four poster with heavy drapes and canopy gives you a much smaller volume to keep warm and it stays warm way longer thus an electric pad / blanket on top of the mattress can keep you snug even if the room is at 32F or less. It’s even easy to extend the cover to a seat and one of those “hospital tables” so you can sit and play cards, use a computer or watch a small TV (the energy lost as heat from the electronics helps heat the space).

There are many other things you can do to conserve energy costs. As I’ve mentioned before it may be less expensive to run a gas generator to charge modern batteries and capture the exhaust heat in water or sand mass storage. Run the generator at the right time of day and you can cook food and heat water for a quick/navy shower then top off batteries that have solar charged etc during the day.

The point is the price of “whenever” convenience is massive… simple very minor inconveniences like wearing a heavy dressing gown can save you upto a thousand a year in energy bills.

As a friend found when I challenged him to make a few changes his combined energy bill dropped from over £1500 to under £500 and he could turn off the freezer and the built in fan based room heating most of the time.

If the info helps just one or two stay out of “fuel Poverty” and “food Poverty” then it will be worth the column inch or two 😉

[1] It’s a song title of a record from a young Bob Dylan, with very prophetic words,

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=90WD_ats6eE

When you listen you will find quite a few signposts in there.

fib February 26, 2024 10:00 AM

Is Space Weather hitting you?

If a CME could just shut up all the Internet cacophony for just a week, bring it on! It could save the human race.

Hope you’re well.

Regards.

emily’s post February 26, 2024 1:09 PM

@ Clive Robinson @ ResearcherZero ALL
DAY

Re: selfies with M&Ms

It was infinitely remiss of me not to mention the original source which the Ars article linked, viz., the February issue of mathNEWS of U Waterloo Canada. The newspaper is quite worth a look on its own merit.

https://mathnews.uwaterloo.ca/

Clive Robinson February 26, 2024 1:30 PM

@ fib,

Turning the internet of for a week would prove interesting…

Obama when POTUS had the idea –or an advisor did– of a big off button for times of “National Emergency” or for “National Security”.

Then it was pointed out that,

1, APT could put payloads into US computers that would be time delay or similar triggered[1].

2, The US economy had largely become deindustrialized and economic activity had become service sector and information sector. Both of which needed the Internet.

3, Due to “shareholder value” nearly all primary infrastructure was dependent on the Internet.

In short most of North America would become like a patient in ICU on life support within three days and toes up within six. Which is I guess why we’ve not really heard about it for a decade.

“Hope you’re well.”

Well as my father used to say

“I’ve got either a nervous twitch or a heartbeat, so that’s a start ;-)”

But speaking of “toes up” for the past year I’ve been greatly hindered by problems with my feet. So after some persuading by me the medical profession went a little medieval on me… And a delightful lady surgeon has removed the badly in growing toe nails that kept getting infected. So I’m what they politely call “mobility challenged”. But on the plus side my feet are nolonger the size/shape of soccer balls so there’s definitely an improvement B-)

But I still can not get shoes on, I can get into UK size 16 sandal s of the sort we used to call “jesus boots” and the hospital has given me some “grandpa boots” that are basically soft cloth sides with velcro to hold them over. But the weather has been wet, followed by wet and windy, followed by stormy etc with the common feature being to wet to go outside in as it would get through the dressings.

Plus it’s way too cold to wear shorts outside, as I can’t wear long trousers yet ={

I had to go “get the dressings changed” last week at my Drs and the looks I was getting from the people in the waiting room was kind of like they thought I was some mad Aussie Digger on his way to the beach…

But I’m told it’ll be another three to six weeks. So maybe out and about for Mothers Day or Easter.

[1] A time delayed or more correctly time triggered unless inhibited payload would be quite devastating. Imagine if you can 1/3rd of servers in the US spewing attacks out onto the US segments of the Internet…

Actually you don’t have to the Bob Morris Worm multiplied by the largest so far known amplifying DDoS attack should give a rough idea.

fib February 26, 2024 6:18 PM

@ Clive

In short most of North America would become like a patient in ICU on life support within three days and toes up within six. Which is I guess why we’ve not really heard about it for a decade.

Well, South America likewise. As you know it will happen with 100% certainty. It could be now, or in the next solar max, or in the next, or even a black swan in between. A medium(!) probability event with a massive impact, i.e., an unacceptable risk. Any sensible person or society must have already taken at least some minimal contingency measures – even if the decision is to sit back and wait for death.

A sudden end to electricity would indeed be apocalyptic. I don’t really mean what I’m saying, but it seems that to get the masses out of this social media trance, which is reminiscent of the actions of Asimov’s fictional Mule [Big Tech fits the part and fills the role], nothing short of an electricity collapse will do.

It is still time to impose regulation on the social media business [if any survivor out of the current mess is to be expect], starting with banning mandate holding politicians from taking part. People invested with authority must communicate, express themselves, through official means only. It should have been like this from the beginning. They are the ones primarily responsible for the polarized chaos in which we find ourselves [e.g. Bolsonaro, Trump, using their high position to instill the ferocious masses through social media].

As for the oft brandished freedom of speech card, I think you have the natural right to speak your mind with the strength of your means. You don’t have the natural right to use an sophisticated technological infrastructure to impose your views.

I’m pessimistic as to human prospects after we as a species apparently opted for denial of reality and magical thinking, and no organized human institution intervened in a timely fashion. I’m starting to entertain the thought that perhaps it’s been a mistake to allow the general population to have such powerful means of computing and communication [on the same device!].

Fermi’s paradox starts to not seem so paradoxical after all. By what I see around, the Great Filter for a civilization seems more and more to be located in the beginning of its transition to mass communication/informatics.

But I’m told it’ll be another three to six weeks. So maybe out and about for Mothers Day or Easter.

My friend, it sounds marvelous. Just in time for the good weather.

In the meantime, it seems like a good proposition to stay in the comfort of home for the end of winter back in good old England. Not wanting to make light of your condition, I would give a small fortune to enjoy this life for a little while. You seem to be in good spirit. I would be delighted to getting a round in with you some sunny day.:)

Wish you all the best.

Clive Robinson February 26, 2024 10:17 PM

@ fib,

Re : North v South.

“Well, South America likewise. As you know it will happen with 100% certainty. It could be now, or in the next solar max, or in the next, or even a black swan in between. A medium(!) probability event with a massive impact, i.e., an unacceptable risk. “

I suspect the toll on the population as a % will actually be less in South America than North America.

Without being nasty, for various reasons South America was late to the party of being “hooked on electricity”. Basically technology has evolved way faster than their societal changes.

Back in the 1930’s in North America a good % of the population were still living without electricity in their homes outside of “Cities” and some newer suburbs. Thirty years later North America from Mexico to the Arctic circle had become electricity dependent not just for lighting but increasingly to pump heat around. For cooking, food preservation and habitué environment (AC, Air and Water heating). This was all the ways from city to what some would call “rural cabins”. WWII had brought a need for people to listen to the radio and thus if you needed the power to run thermionic tube/valves the extra for what even by todays standards are very high wattage light bulbs made life not just significantly easier, it also made it significantly safer and oh so much more convenient. As kerosene lamps and similar have a very high incidence of starting fires, in homes as do candles they also both require high maintenance and a need to get oil or wax, wicks etc. The danger was in part because their low light output and high heat, ment low down use, as well as getting continuously moved. Thus a very high incidence of being accidently knocked against or curtains and similar blown against.

In the 1980’s much of South America was and still is not using mains electricity. Of interest is modern low power LED lights and low power electronics means many are unlikely to want to go to the expense of mains electricity even if it was available.

In some ways the North and South of America have taken two different technological evolutionary paths. Whilst the North has become dependent to a very high degree to high power electrical usage. South America has domestically not done so in a sufficiently notable percentage of the population. Thus a big chunk of South America is “already prepared” and the loss of mains power will as they don’t have it won’t effect them if there is a significant CME hit and Carrington style event.

As for CME’s they come in all ranges if you look it up Quebec got hit mid winter back in March 1989, almost exactly 35 years ago,

https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2021/03/12/the-great-quebec-blackout/

By what was a one in thirty to fifty year expected event.

I remember the event not because it caused me any problem in England, but because it’s the only time I’ve seen auroras in England bright enough to be visible over suburban street lighting.

From what I remember Europe apart from pretty lights was mostly unaffected. In part because many power cables are sub surface, in part because the energy from the CME “heats the soil” rather than melts the towers and cables, but also the runs of cables in the air were shorter and many were not directionally positioned to get very large unidirectional flux. Also the networks had way more breaks in terms of grid to grid isolation.

When a CME hits the effect is a very long drawn out slow rise, of what is nearly “Direct Current”(DC) as opposed to 50/60Hz low frequency “Alternating Current”(AC), it’s called an “E3” characteristic event. This tends to kill certain transformer configurations but not others when multiple phases are involved. Especially when cables in the air are not just in a balanced configuration but also a twisted configuration (they all float up together so there is no differential except to ground).

Put overly simply, for DC current to flow you need a closed circuit. For a CME the circuit is from the overhead cables through the neutral connection to ground. If the cables are balanced phases there is no need for an actual neutral or to have it go to ground (but massively high voltages can cause it to arc-over). Thus fitting segment splitting capacitors and “dump circuits” to keep the voltage tolerable can keep overheads delivering AC Mains Power whilst keeping the DC and low frequency Voltage Standing Waves from reflections under control. Such equipment is not cheap and what are still called “oil filled” capacitors and inductors are very much not environmentally friendly.

Likewise “Plain Old Telephone Service”(POTS) overhead telephone cables in rural areas can use a circuit not unlike a pair of back to back “2wire to 4wire” hybrids and high impedance phantom signalling.

Modern trunk phone circuits use “optical fiber” however they are steal wire braid covered to protect against mechanical damage. This braid is like metal conduit, an effective electrical conductor and is thus susceptible. Worse as with sub-sea cables the optical amplifiers in some long cables are fed with a “Series DC supply” that can be up in the Kilovolt range as this minimises I^2R losses.

I won’t talk about overhead power for trains and trams as it’s very complicated for other reasons.

And before someone puts both feet in yes I can explain in very great detail, but it would take up a whole bunch of column inches.

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 5:39 AM

@ Spacelifeform, ALL,

Re : AWS goofing again.

First it’s been a while I hope you are well and as content as can be expected these days?

I started reading through the article you linked to and thought,

“WTF am I reading this right?”

So I went to the link of the original exploit,

https://tracebit.com/blog/2024/02/finding-aws-account-id-of-any-s3-bucket/

And yup it looked like I was.

What became clear was that neither writer had ever picked a mechanical combination lock, or assumed their readers had not[1].

Because picking such a lock as that shown at the top right of every page of this blog is exactly the same process and very fast (it also works on luggage/briefcase locks as easily and is just as fast as two locks make no difference as the attack speed is proportional to the number of wheels not the myriad individual combinations).

When you pick such a lock you rely on the “manufacturing defect” in the lock to “feel” an individual wheel “is in” the right setting.

Put simply if you pull on the lock it puts pressure on just one of the wheels that “binds” up a little and becomes stiff to turn. As you turn it when it stops binding as much you have found the right setting for that wheel. So you then find the next wheel that is more bound than the others and rotate it till it unbinds at it’s correct setting. Repeat for all the wheels which is six in the above and the hasp is now open. With a little practice you can do this almost as fast as the lock owner could turn the wheels to the correct setting.

So you go from trying a million combinations that six numeric wheels give you to just six “feel the wheel in” operations…

The fact no one at AWS pulled up the fact that using a wild card would allow a “feel the wheel in” attack actually astounds me to a level that few can probably understand.

It really is a very basic type of attack as it works on both “pin and tumbler” key rim locks where you “rake the pins” and on mortice locks where you “profile the key” leaver by leaver (also warded locks but these are rare these days except in very cheap padlocks).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lever_tumbler_lock

Really the only difficulty behind these attacks is finding the software equivalent of a “bind” or “feel” test.

[1] Prof Matt Blaze set up a lock picking lab so all his students would learn tactilely how basic attacks from the physical domain transfer into the information domain all to easily. As there has been centuries of lock picking and thwarting going on. It’s something a curious child can learn by themselves, and I was quite proficient long before I was in my double digits.

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 6:05 AM

@ emily’s post,

Re : Maths Students Newspaper and… coffee and donut café.

Sorry for the late response I spent a little while pursuing some of the newspapers last night.

And yes the word “eclectic” can be applied as well as “engaging”.

The number they produce and their length makes the newspaper a prodigious body of work in its own right.

I see multiple references to the “CnD” or “Coffee and Donut” but not in the topological sense I mentioned, but more in the NYC Cop sense as in a 5min sugar / fat / caffeine hyper fix sense 😉

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 7:29 AM

@ ALL,

It would appear that some are not up on their “new speak slang” (it’s a “cant” much like “cockney rhyming slang).

Thus “Duck waddle” is a polite euphemism to “Quack Twaddle”.

With “Quack Twaddle” meaning,

1, a Quack : some one who is generally a “no nothing” not the professional the try to appear, selling “snake oil”. In short a Charlatan.

2, Twaddle an old English word used for “speaking nonsense or falsely”

See,

https://www.dictionary.com/browse/quack

https://www.dictionary.com/browse/charlatan

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/twaddle

The fact some one thinks it’s funny, then uses it incorrectly, kind of proves a point.

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 9:08 AM

@ Bruce, ALL,

Fire Sale time for tech stocks?

It’s been brought to my attention that various “Dot Com Billionaires” are in effect dumping their stock holdings onto the market.

With Bill Gates dumping something like 80% of his portfolio, Mark Zukerberg dumping half of Meta/facebook. Similarly Geof Bezos and several others are seeking rapid liquidity.

And others who would have done very well if the AI bubble had inflated as some obviously wanted it to, but did not happen, due in large part what happened at OpenAI and the naked greed it exposed rather than the altruism and for humanity that was portrayed.

Whilst “restructuring”, “reinvesting / diversification” and the like can not be ruled out it might be interesting to see how they reinvest the cash before it devalues or becomes increasingly worthless.

I’ve been told that the fact all these people have been “bunker building” in strange out of the way places and have recently all been seen to be re-stocking etc implies they are possibly bailing out of the US and it’s economy. Thus I should keep my eye on primary internationally valuable and transportable assets like precious metals, gemstones and similar.

My cautious nature would suggest second line investing in industrially needed metals especially like those needed for “war production” of technology weapons would if things go the way others are predicting would fairly quickly make up for any loss in the bringing down in market value of the share dumping.

As always I’m an observer, not an investor or advisor, just suggesting others keep a “weather eye” open and potentially looking in the direction from which a storm may be brewing. Because when big money gets twitchy generally it should be assumed “there is not smoke without fire” in their minds.

Winter February 27, 2024 10:35 AM

@Clive

I’ve been told that the fact all these people have been “bunker building” in strange out of the way places and have recently all been seen to be re-stocking etc implies they are possibly bailing out of the US and it’s economy. Thus I should keep my eye on primary internationally valuable and transportable assets like precious metals, gemstones and similar.

Maybe they see the writing on the wall.

Putin has fleeced all oligarchs in Russia by force. Trump (and the GOP) are his eager pupils. If Trump wins, he will start dismantling the rule of law and start doing a Putin on these billionaires.

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 10:52 AM

@ Winter,

Re : Fleecing the billionaires

Whilst it might be preferable to a world war…

What would he do with the money?

Winter February 27, 2024 11:01 AM

@Clive

What would he do with the money?

His face on Mount Rushmore, but then BIGGER?

‘https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/nov/26/donald-trump-kyle-rittenhouse-photo-mount-trumpmore-rushnore

What does Putin want with the money? He simply owns Russia and all who are in there.

Trump will want to own America, lock stock and barrel.

Johnny "sweep the leg" February 27, 2024 11:23 AM

@ echo:

Don’t you have Twitter/X or some other site which could better function as a personal blog for your drivel?

Johnny "no mercy" February 27, 2024 11:29 AM

@ echo:

“Up to 20% of young women now identify as lesbian and for very good reasons one tends to think.”

This is Schenier On SECURITY, not “The Scissor Sisters on carpet munching.”

Kindly take your politics and your other garbage someplace else.

JonKnowsNothing February 27, 2024 12:02 PM

@ fib, @Clive

re: Please Use Candles v Gravity

Some years back a very inventive group was manufacturing (or trying to) a gravity run light system. It was designed to provide light in areas without electricity and remote villages. It had a large holding bag in which you put ballast rocks. Then lifted it to the top of a chain & gear system. Like a grandfather clock, the weight ran the gears and the gears connected in a way to produce light.

However, other similar light-no-electricity providers decided to go with solar panels as they gave more light energy and could charge batteries and smartphones. They were more expensive to provide and of course subject to break down.

The company eventually gave up on their gravity system and shifted to a solar panel system.

It was still the best design for specific applications but the market big NGOs (and funding) are working in are huge refugee camps with miles of tents in a row grid.

There was a NGO Tent kit that was pretty useful. A full insulated rectangular tent system, with dagger proof walls (seems stabbing at night is a problem). It included a solar panel that could sit on the roof or on the ground. It could be assembled by 2 people and several units could be connected together (family rooms). They were cheap enough individually but unfortunately you had to buy in bulk at ~$100,000 per order.

===

h ttps:/ /en. wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_light

  • GravityLight was a gravity-powered lamp manufactured until 2019. It was designed by the company Deciwatt for use in developing or third-world nations, as a replacement for kerosene lamps. It uses a bag filled with rocks or earth, attached to a cord, which slowly descends similar to the weight drive in a cuckoo clock. This action was claimed to power the light for up to twenty minutes. The design never proceeded beyond a limited number of early prototypes which did not appear to be practically usable by many consumers, and the company announced a change of direction in 2020.

Anonymous February 27, 2024 12:04 PM

@Clive
And we supposedly made gods in our own image yup that’s a thought to amuse the dark side.

IMHO Gods made in our own image do not care about us or them.

lurker February 27, 2024 12:30 PM

@JonKnowsNothing

Why use a rectangular panel with all the wiring hassle?

There was a device in a plastic drink bottle that stuck in a hole in the roof. Made headlines at the time but seems to have disappeared?

‘https://newatlas.com/the-lightie-solar-light-soda-bottle/31111/

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 1:09 PM

@ JonKnowsNothing, fib, lurker,

This takes me back more than a decade and a half ago,

https://newatlas.com/solar-pebble-kerosene-dependence/14748/

If you read the first bit you can see why I’m twitchy about oil lamps. Not only can they burn you to death, they can slowly poison you and give you a premature and painful death from cancer.

It’s not known how many die a year from their use, but some think it’s more than die on the street from or in vehicles in the same locality.

It’s why I and a friend who is sadly nolonger with us started a solar light project. However we found that the rechargable batteries then economically available were almost as fatal unless properly disposed of, and really were only good for a year so the disposal rate would be high thus the probability of environmental contamination likewise high.

We revisited the idea using more modern LiPo batteries and UV-C LEDs as part of a PPE light weight respirator for the medical profession during C19. We got to the point of prototype manufacture when unfortunately he suffered a fatal accident and that put paid to the project.

He might well have been seen as a bit of an oddball and daredevil by quite a few but his heart was in the right place and his commitment to the projects he got involved with unquestionable. He is missed by his friends but in many ways he really did change the world and for the better for a lot of people who don’t know of him.

JonKnowsNothing February 27, 2024 5:14 PM

@ lurker, fib, Clive, All

re: @L: plastic drink bottle that stuck in a hole in the roof

There is a huge spectrum of needs and options for housing alternatives. Nearly none of which is provided by a functioning government anywhere. Non-functioning governments by definition, do not do anything at all.

The solar light bottle is still useful in many cases, but as with the gravity light company it was overtaken by High Tech Solar Panels.

Solar panels do not necessarily solve or improve the housing & options needed in many cases. As @Clive commented, disposal of the panel parts and battery is not eco-friendly.

Cash-fund raising is much more lucrative if the NGO touts HiTech 4 the Poor.

Within each segment there are solutions that work well but maybe omitted because of scope and quantity. It’s not easy to feed hundreds of people 3x a day or provide minimal shelter for hundreds of thousands of people through every sort of weather condition.

So, Consider the Solar Soda Bottle

  • It works well in dark sheds or shanty built structures. It provides light only during daytime. It requires a structural roof so, it is not a canvas tent item. It is easily installed and requires minimal maintenance (adding bleach to the bottle). There is likelihood of leakage around the opening, as the upper flashing does not always prevent water intrusion. The reduction of available plastic bottles hasn’t really impacted the usability, however with some plastic bottle types the bottle will deteriorate and need replacing. (1)

@L: The rectangular shape

The rectangular flat pack laid out by origami principles (see IKEA) can hold a lot of items in the package. The rectangle leaves space for struts and connection parts. The solar wiring is not throughout the unit; just one room. The rectangle leaves options on joining up other kits for large family units or entire displaced families and relatives.

In California we have 75,000 homeless people on the street. (2) While NGOs build huge refugee camps in other countries, some of which are de-facto permanent cities, in the USA we do not contemplate that our county needs to provide the same level of housing and support as the sight of a USA California Homeless Campus with 75,000 NGO Structure Camp being erected would cause significant publicity problems, as it would be the size of many of our cities.

As in other similar situations there are other problems that go with it: access to water, sanitation, garbage, food delivery, mail delivery, travel and a lot more that makes up modern living.

===

1) htt ps://en.wik ipedia.org/wiki /Resin_identification_code

USA. Resin PETE codes indicate what sort of reuse a plastic bottle is recommended for. Potable water, food storage all require specific resin types.

Sometimes people select the wrong type for potable water storage with a common result that the plastic cracks and the water seeps all over the garage.

Part of the confusion is Recycle vs Upcycle. Recycle generally ends up in a landfill. Upcycle means to reuse the item for similar or new use, like refilling water in the same bottle. All plastics can be expected to deteriorate over time.

Large farm size water tanks of 50 gal to 2,000-5,000 gallons are made specially for water with thick sidewalls.

2)

HAIL Warning

ht tps://www.theg uardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/22/los-angeles-unhoused-deaths-increase-housing-crisis-fentanyl-overdoses

  • more than 2,000 unhoused people died in LA in 2023
  • LA County now has more than 75,500 unhoused people
  • People in their 70s are unable to afford housing after retirement and end up living in vehicles or on the streets.

JonKnowsNothing February 27, 2024 6:27 PM

@ lurker, fib, Clive, All

re: Solar Bottle Variant

A solar tube light works the same was as the solar bottle but without the liquid to do the refraction.

There have been some large manufacturing facilities set up with solar refraction which reduced electrical daytime demand.

Some of these options use light wave bouncing and can separate out infrared (heat) at the top similar to a double panel window. Using mirrors they can bounce the light into areas with no window access. If they use Fresnel lenses they can concentrate the light.

Another option is to use a mirror reflector mounted on swivels outside a window to shine sunlight deep inside dark buildings. Same concept as lighting the gallery into Tutankhamen’s tomb. Some buildings use a mirror ledge where the incoming light strikes the ledge which reflects it towards a ceiling diffuser.

More advanced versions will collect moonlight. No help for new moon week though.

===

ht tps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Light_tube

  • Light tubes (also known as solar pipes, tubular skylights or sun tunnels[1]) are structures that transmit or distribute natural or artificial light for the purpose of illumination and are examples of optical waveguides.

ht tps://en. wikipedia.org/wiki/Fresnel_lens

  • type of composite compact lens which reduces the amount of material required compared to a conventional lens by dividing the lens into a set of concentric annular sections.
  • plastic Fresnel lenses can be made larger than glass lenses, as well as being much cheaper and lighter, they are used to concentrate sunlight for heating in solar cookers, in solar forges, and in solar collectors used to heat water for domestic use. They can also be used to generate steam or to power a Stirling engine.
  • Fresnel lenses can concentrate sunlight onto solar cells with a ratio of almost 500:1. This allows the active solar-cell surface to be reduced, lowering cost and allowing the use of more efficient cells [some solar panels come with Fresnel lenses or you can add them post-market].

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 7:50 PM

@ JonKnowsKnothing, fib, lurker, ALL,

Re : Death rate

“more than 2,000 unhoused people died in LA in 2023
LA County now has more than 75,500 unhoused people”

Let me think 75,500 with 2000 die each year that’s 1 in 37.750 or around 2.65% death rate.

That is a very serious problem.

I know some of that population has come from other parts of the US attracted by various State policies, thus they tend to be more fragile than other citizens.

But even so dealing with 40 near anonymous deaths a week on the street carries with it a very large administrative burden, especially as a fair number will not be “natural deaths”.

“People in their 70s are unable to afford housing after retirement…”

One of the reasons for “owning a home” was to stop this happening and if I remember correctly annual land tax to the city/state was based on the sale or transfer value, so the longer you owned effectively the less you paid. Not sure how it’s calculated on rentals.

As for retirement and pension the way it’s done in the US has always mystified me as it’s like US healthcare an “unfair tax” on those at the bottom end of the socioeconomic ladder.

Clive Robinson February 27, 2024 8:24 PM

@ Anonymous, Winter,

Re : Figments of anthropomorphism.

“IMHO Gods made in our own image do not care about us or them.”

Why should they, they are in effect every bit as make-believe as “Monsters under the bed”.

All they do is act as a form of “guard labour” designed to keep the honest, honest and provide a way to herd the population via cognitive bias placed in childrens minds long before they can defend themselves.

It’s one of the reasons more cult like religions really concentrate on getting women subservient and pliant such they keep brain washing their young into keeping priests and the like in parasitic not symbiotic comfort for no good reason.

Have a look back at some of the discussions on this blog with @Winter for the philosophical side.

Quite a few on this blog do not hold the notion of deities in any high regard, and often quite correctly see them as a tool to control society. And often to hold it back, hence the more modern association with authoritarian leadership of the form considered “undesirable” by the majority of currently still moderately free societies.

echo February 27, 2024 10:53 PM

@Clive

But if you had left them undeleted others would have know her base behaviours and how false her LGBTQ+ etc pretences are.

I just caught this, or may have ignored it earlier.

Strange. I attended an LGBTQI+ meeting this evening. It was really good. Nice company. Well, mostly. Gay men are doughnuts (they’re men) but quite sweet in their own way. As for the ladies we’re off our trolleys. No not really. Stuff. Life. The usual. It did cross my mind to have a good moan about you, Clive, but I thought I’d clear my head of other stuff including you call “arcane”. Some of this “Arcane” stuff has actually been classified as security related by one senior MP who someone seemed to have briefed very well (not me before you start) but then you probably don’t watch the parliamentary debates I do. Not that I watch a lot but I do sometimes and read Hansard when I absolutely have to. Well, I did ramble more about other things but, you know, whatever.

And yes Clive. The rainbow people are a tribe. In fact I’m heartened by some of the discussion lately dealing with internal politics. It can be difficult at times but we are family. For some of us it’s all we have. You do know about LGBT children being beaten or made homeless?

It’s not all bad. There’s good stuff too. Life affirming stuff. It’s good. By luck there’s some nice things happening which I wanted to do for a long time as it turned out. Just stuff LGBT people do which makes life better but, you know, OPSEC.

So you were saying?

She has further indicated a few days back she is going to very disruptively fill this blog with 60 Pages of her “put her self in the hero” Walter Mitty style notes / comments. Which based on what she has posted so far are of little relevance as they involve arcane UK Politics and are of the sort you specifically prohibited in the past.

I have clearly explained by views on security and what security means to me as well as posting plenty of material which could attract security related comment if the understanding was there. Surely you being an expert on everything could see that, or your self-styled curious mind would look beyond your immediate reactivity and discover something? But no. You’re in too much of a gammon snot over it.

I am actually quite upset by dead LGBT children (and yes have cried tears over it) and have been blindingly angry over it and certainly very frustrated by the governance and policy and broadly security related issues which create or inflame the conditions for this both nationally and internationally. I don’t watch 4+ hours of Professor Judith Butler videos (including one she specifically said was security related in the first minute) for no reason. I was hoping some of you would “get it” or show some humanity (or maybe get off a high horse or two) but that didn’t happen. A large part of the content was actually US orientated (although can be readily applied elsewhere). The very highly regarded Professor Judith Butler is American. And yes I did enjoy the videos. They were a good palette cleanser, I must say. She really is a brilliant mind. Many LGBT people are and braver than you can imagine.

I have touched on geopolitics previously to give things context and held off for ages as I tried to understand the situation in a sea of disinformation and influencing, and since becoming firmly convinced genocide and war crimes were happening only gave my personal and emotional position on the current Middle-East issue.

I’m just an ordinary woman with eclectic interests. Person of importance? Never said that. Never indicated that. I may ham things up a little and my humour is different to yours but I don’t see what that has to do with anything. I may push the boat out sometimes. Like you don’t? I’m not ashamed of anything I’ve written.

Anyway, I’m sticking with my point of view. Sorry if that upsets you.

JonKnowsNothing February 28, 2024 12:42 AM

@Clive, All

re: annual land tax to the city/state was based on the sale or transfer value, so the longer you owned effectively the less you paid. Not sure how it’s calculated on rentals.

There are 3 taxes involved

  • Annual Property Tax based on a local averaged value
  • Capital Gains Tax on Sale
  • Sales Tax on Sale

Annual Property Taxes are due on every owned lot-land and building or home. The amount of the property tax varies by location and type of building. Each year the County Assessor re-evaluates the homes within a particular area and adjusts the property tax value accordingly. Normally this value goes up but in serious recessions it can go down.

The evaluation considers the homes around you, their RE Market Value. New homes are more expensive when compared to an older established home. Some areas have higher priced housing compared with depressed neighborhoods. Normally the amount of assessment is increased.

There is a portion allocated to the land. The biggest portion allocated to the house. Additional fees are included. Some areas have special assessment districts for lights, streets, parks.

Each county determines their own assessment. In San Francisco, because the properties there exceed $1,000,000, the property tax can be $10,000. The rate of house price increase is greater in SF and many houses there are now $2,000,000-3,000,000 with corresponding increase in tax assessment.

This is due in 2 installments and there is a funky IRS carry over due to the way the tax bill is generated: half in year 1 and half in year 2.

Even if people managed to pay off their mortgage, they fall under foreclosures over property taxes.

  • This is a known scam by City and County Governments when they enter into a Renewal Contract with a large property developer who plans to tear down the “poor end of town” to build something important like a Baseball Stadium. The surrounding area gets assessed at Future Market Rate Valuations ($1 Million-$10 Million) and the small house purchased in 1950 for $11,000 with no mortgage gets assessed at the Future Market Rate with a Tax Bill of $10,000 per year.

There are cases where the tax bill went to $80,000 per year when the surrounding area was turned into a gated country club estate and professional golf course.

The other 2 taxes are due on Sale of the House. The Sales Withholding Tax is a based on the sale price of the house ~3% and is a pre-payment for any Capital Gains Tax.

Capital Gains taxes are generically the difference between what you bought it for and what you sell it for at a specific tax rate.

  • Sales – Purchased = Taxable Value (aka Profit)
  • Taxable Value * Capital Gains Tax Rate paid to Federal and State.

When you are retired with limited income, both of these items can cause people to lose their home and end up on the street. You might end up in jail over the Capital Gains Tax Amount.

Even if you manage to pay these, you can still become A Ward of the State because in the USA, Elder Care is not part of our Senior Health plan (Medicare). Only people who are destitute can qualify for some care (SSI/Medicaid). It is based on the US National Poverty Index if you qualify for Medicaid. (1) If you have too much pension, you get NOTHING in the way of Elder Care.

Elder Care is the State’s method of Asset Stripping the house in return for sub-standard care. Theoretically, the house is sold and the monies deposited for your benefit to pay for Elder Care. Good Elder Care costs $10,000-$15,000 per month. This is NOT what the state will provide for you. You will be placed in a care facility charging $1,000-$2,000 per month, your Legal Guardian will bill $500/hour to review the bills. Once the pool of funds is exhausted you are evicted.

What happens after you are evicted, you can well imagine.

===

1)
ht tps://aspe.h hs.gov/topics/poverty-economic-mobility/poverty-guidelines

Based on Annual Income

2024 POVERTY GUIDELINES FOR THE 48 CONTIGUOUS STATES AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

Persons in family/household Poverty guideline

1 $15,060
2 $20,440
3 $25,820
4 $31,200
5 $36,580
6 $41,960
7 $47,340
8 $52,720

For families/households with more than 8 persons, add $5,380 for each additional person.

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 12:55 AM

Edgerouters run a custom Linux version based off Debian. You don’t really want an APT with root access on your network.

‘https://arstechnica.com/security/2024/02/kremlin-backed-hackers-are-infecting-ubiquity-edgerouters-fbi-warns/

Ubiquiti EdgeRouters often shipped with default credentials and no firewall protections, and do not automatically update firmware unless a consumer configures them to do so.

  1. Perform a hardware factory reset to flush file systems of malicious files
  2. Upgrade to the latest firmware version
  3. Change any default usernames and passwords, and
  4. Implement strategic firewall rules on WAN-side interfaces to prevent unwanted exposure to remote management services.

‘https://www.ic3.gov/Media/News/2024/240227.pdf

Drop all outside unsolicited connections to the WAN.

‘https://community.spiceworks.com/topic/2146576-ubiquiti-edgerouter-pro-firewall-rules

Read all of this:

‘https://help.ui.com/hc/en-us/articles/204962154-EdgeRouter-How-to-Create-a-WAN-Firewall-Rule

You can configure only specific connections (IP) from your LAN to the management interface.

(you could also consider hardening Edgerouter security)

‘https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa24-057a

‘https://www.darkreading.com/cyberattacks-data-breaches/uac-0184-targets-ukrainian-entity-finland-remcos-rat

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 3:43 AM

@ ResearchZero, ALL,

“Ubiquiti EdgeRouters often shipped with default credentials and no firewall protections, and do not automatically update firmware unless a consumer configures them to do so.”

From a “security engineering” perspective, this is “historically” the way to have a new “base start” with *nix and other high level OS systems delivered, under “the least suprise” doctrine.

But from a “home user” perspective it’s most likely to remain the default, thus a “known problem waiting to be found” by anyone who can use an old and ancient “Command Line Interface”(CLI) tool like netcat[1].

Thus the issue is an assumed status gap that has changed with time. Back when SysAdmins used to configure systems off line via the system terminal in init() stage 1 before a network cable was even plugged in. The base state was quite secure enough for this first step stage.

However with no SysTerms and only network based “web interfaces” such systems can be compromised before the user can read enough info to get logged in.

It’s a clear indicator of the “legacy mindset” or “shareholder value” mindset depending on who makes the choice not to spend time and other resources to make the product safe for “everyone” (remember a rogue / botnet system is a danger to all it can see).

—I’m writing these footnotes in more depth “brain dump” mode than usual as those looking for information may find their way here from a “google”. And hopefully it will help a bit untill they can get into “Linux HOWTOS”[4] and the like.

[1] Netcat used to be the “go get” tool for “Script Kiddies”(Skids/Skiddies) back further than I can remember. because it was fairly easy to instal for even a complete novice. And for this reason it became a standard that most “exploit scripts” Skiddes ran were written to use it. This was back in the time when *nix sh(1) “Shell Scripts”[2] were giving way to Perl Scripts (a ‘curious abomination’ was once how the Perl language was described).

[2] On traditional *nix systems untill “Agent P” came in to install megabytes of hellish nonsense all systems administration was done using the default shell sh(1) known as the “Bourn Shell” after the person who originally wrote it and scripts edited vith either ed() or vi(). The term sh(1) was not a command to be typed but was a short hand giving the command name “sh” to be typed and “(1)” the section of the Unix Manual pages[3] under which it was referenced (no number in the brackets like man() usually ment there was more than one section a command, call, etc or it’s information could be in, or just a generic shorthand. Originally there were only seven sections in the man pages which split CLI commands/executables, calls, file, games and scripts etc up into logical groups that the manual command man(1)[3] could be used to amongst other things “search”.

[3] For it’s time *nix was the most well documented minicomputer operating system “at the user terminal”, this online –yup had a different meaning back then– documentation was accessed by shell scripts man(7) that called the man(1) command line executable. “System Administrators”(SysAdmins) used to tell “new users”(newbies) to type in “man man” or “man 7 man” or more rarely “man 1 man” depending on how they had configured the system to work and what info the user needed. The original man() pages are still a wealth of information and is still even today a good place to get your head around if you want to use *nix in the raw CLI as you have to do on most embedded systems with tty() access. To see the page in the modern meaning of “online”,

https://www.man7.org/linux/man-pages/man1/man.1.html

[4] Linux HowTos are more amplified user oriented documents that can give the right guidance to do complex tasks,

https://www.linuxhowtos.org/

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 4:26 AM

@ JonKnowsNothing, fib, lurker, ALL,

Re : Only for the upper floor.

“A solar tube light works the same was as the solar bottle but without the liquid to do the refraction.”

There are a couple of issues with them that as I’ve seen can be very negatively impactful in temperate and higher latitude regions.

Firstly is the issue of cross sectional area. With passive systems not using water balls the level of light that goes down into the building is directly related to the cross sectional area of the light tube / waveguide and the angle from which it is irradiated. Importantly the light should be “direct sun light” not defuse light through clouds.

The UK is not really known for cloudless days and it does snow here as well as rain quite heavily. Which is something the sales and marketing people don’t tell you when they sell “green solutions” which is one reason going green has a bad reputation in the UK.

Secondly is loss both light loss due to scattering, absorption and other effects the light lost per meter of tube is quite high. And also they are thermal night mares if not insulated correctly which can add two feet to the diameter of the tube unless you add a vacuum cell at the top which gives additional light loss.

I’ve mentioned a friend yesterday that had a factory located south of London. With his engineering lab within, but it was not on the top floor but one floor down. Even though relatively small it needed two tubes/pipes to give less than adequate light on all but a few hours in high summer. The tubes went through the floor above and in effect took up the same floor area as four desks would have and caused condensation and rain leak issues. If it snowed or rained then it was effectively “lights out”. And LED lights at the time were not really upto giving the sort of light that would not strain the eyes. Thus it ended up having a negative impact on the environment and people working in his lab. Because it ended up being the sort of gloom you get in meeting rooms when an OHP is in use.

echo February 28, 2024 10:00 AM

@Clive

I’m still waiting for you to apologise for slagging off coders which is the the cause of your throwing a snot. Since facts don’t match the reality in your head are you going to apologise for your LGBT comment? Obviously not from the crushing nose in the air silence. You also opined with a trademark “tablets of stone” comment on women’s rights. Sorry but even when there are explainers in discussion which you could make a positive contribution to if you wanted you throw your nose in the air again. Hold that thought until you get to the conclusion on “legacy mindsets”.

It’s a clear indicator of the “legacy mindset” or “shareholder value” mindset depending on who makes the choice not to spend time and other resources to make the product safe for “everyone” (remember a rogue / botnet system is a danger to all it can see).

The UK is not America Clive. Nor is the EU. There’s this thing called GCHQ and EU directives. You see in the UK we have this thing called MP’s you can write to and public services and there does remain a shred of law protecting society. You seem to be getting confused with the myth of rugged individualism and the death trap that is the US. Almost all end users have an ISP supplied modem/router. GCHQ can and have hardened ISP supplied kit. Standards practices have been update. Now if someone wants to go buying random junk off the internet there’s this thing on cable modems called “modem” mode. As for anything else it’s on them. I think a gentle word with Trading Standards might help. There’s also various trade bodies and unions and NGO’s you can leverage if you get stuck.

And absolutely nobody is going to find anything you post on here from a search engine. It doesn’t magically rise to the top because “Clive says”. No end user is going to make the slightest sense of what you wrote here. And how is this fictional end user who has a 90% chance of using Mac OS or Windows going to be in a hurry to read Linux HOWTO’s? That assumes the HOWTO’s aren’t a monolith of NIH nee ner obscurity.

Instead of playing whack-a-mole with end users you could perhaps swagger in with your “certified professional” status and all the Linux gurus will down tools and immediately change the industry defaults because “Clive says”. You know, solve one problem solve many problems? I’m sure the “consumer friendly” especially (for degrees of consumer friendly) Linux distributions whose firewall defaults are open will immediately snap to attention because “Clive says”.

You either need to get lobbying, learn to write tutorials in human and maybe (snark) post them on a general user site or your own blog, and revise your cheat sheets.

Right… “Legacy mindsets”. Neither science nor engineering nor any other “certified professional” industry you care to mention with it’s standards, and rules, and even laws providing a competency and safeguarding mechanism happen just by magic. They are not special and often (but not exclusively) driven as much by ego as anything else.

I’m currently reading some comments by a talented “certified professional” at the younger end of the spectrum discussing a very current problem. It’s an edge case scenario but there is a threat to life aspect. The scenario is a known known, not new in any way, but “legacy mindsets” are using their job title to bully juniors and deceive end clients.

There’s another young talented professional in a different but overlapping field who has had to cope with this and, yes, sexual harassment. There’s things ongoing in her field too.

You’ve had a hundred opportunities to expand your knowledge of security and applied security and be useful in explaining this so as to bridge the gap but you’ve blown it every time. Things are happening anyway even if you don’t see them on this blog. It may take a demographic curve to recycle but it’s happening. The kids have got it Clive. They’re not stupid even if you don’t understand them.

And you really do owe coders an apology. You slag them off and use their code every day. You can’t have your cake and eat it.

JG5 February 28, 2024 11:27 AM

Capitalism is at least partly a gradient descent method where capital is deployed to arbitrage supply-demand mismatch. Unfortunately, it suffers from some of the same local minima problems as machine learning. One type is called “a monopoly.” There are other ways to get stuck. Trying to manage the fundamental mismatches between security, transparency and privacy. Can’t recall if I wrote anything here on the topic. May you live in interesting times.

A Transparent, Open-Source Vision for U.S. Elections
Posted on February 28, 2024 by Yves Smith
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2024/02/a-transparent-open-source-vision-for-u-s-elections.html

Adida and his team are staking out a position in a debate that stretches back to the early days of computing: Is the route to computer security through secrecy, or through total transparency?
Some of the most widely used software today is open-source software, or OSS, meaning anyone can read, modify, and reuse the code. OSS has powered popular products like the operating system Linux and the internet browser Firefox from Mozilla. It’s also used extensively by the Department of Defense.
Proponents of OSS offer three main arguments for why it’s more secure than a locked box model. First, publicly available source code can be scrutinized by anyone, not just a relatively small group of engineers within a company, increasing the chances of catching flaws. Second, because coders know that they can be scrutinized by anyone, they’re incentivized to produce better work and to explain their approach. “You can go and look at exactly why it’s being done this way, who wrote it, who approved it, and all of that,” said Adida.

JonKnowsNothing February 28, 2024 11:52 AM

@Clive, fib, lurker, ALL,

Re: Solar Tube lights have issues. Passive light does too

Very correct. These things do not work in every instance or in every environment. They are often Not Useful due to a variety of conditions.

Places where they may be useful include having 100% control of the building. So using them in a rental or multi-story system may not work. Using them as an adjunct to standard methods maybe helpful but this adds costs to the building since there are 2 systems to integrate doing the same or similar function.

Climate concerns are important factors in Passive House. The tube can transmit heat into the building when it is not wanted. These can be fitted with a baffle to block heat and moonlight but heat control needs to be At The Top of the Tube. If you are in the arctic the best you might get is some light. The incoming heat factor will be poor but your heat leakage to the outside will be high.

One of the long standing failures of Passive House designs is that they have to be tailored for the specific location and all climate conditions in that location, or at least to mitigate the worst aspects of climate change. There is often a significant failure in the overall design. Retrofitting a Passive House is not cheap.

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 1:08 PM

@ echo,

“I’m still waiting for you to apologise for slagging off coders which is the the cause of your throwing a snot. Since facts don’t match the reality in your head are you going to apologise for your LGBT comment?”

Neither are true except in your Walter Mitty mind.

Oh others it appears are getting fed up with all your nonsense and have reasonably suggested you go take your Politics etc opinions elsewhere… Maybe you should setup your own blog or I guess you could try X nee Twitter or Reddit. There’s always Discord or Mastodon.

@ Moderator,

Remember @echo did say “sixty pages” of links etc the other day and certainly appears to be “saturation bombing” the blog and thereby harming it for others.

Note others have noted and objected to @echo’s rather sad fixation on me and repeated failings to provoke more than rejections of her fixation behaviour and observations on how her claims do not match her statements (or as far as can be told even her own earlier comments…).

She clearly has no intention to stop and the blog and it’s host will suffer reputationally as a result.

I’ve been told by other observers that she is in effect “Trophie Scalp Hunting” to try and show “what a hero she is” in her mind and thus go crowing to anyone who will listen (probably very few indeed).

Thus the question is if she does not claim my scalp even with false allegations who will she turn on next?

bl5q sw5N February 28, 2024 1:30 PM

@ JG5

Capitalism is at least partly a gradient descent method where capital is deployed to arbitrage supply-demand mismatch. Unfortunately, it suffers from some of the same local minima problems as machine learning.

Capitalism’s conventional economics is in even worse shape than the above suggests [1] –

I have no idea whether Adam Smith’s invisible hand holds for the “real world,” but, then, no one else does either. This is because, even though this story is used to influence national policy, no mathematical theory exists to justify it. Quite to the contrary; what we do know indicates that even the simple models from introductory courses in economics can exhibit dynamical behavior far more complex than anything found in classical physics or biology. In fact, all kinds of complicated dynamics (e.g., involving topological entropy, strange attractors, and even conditions yet to be found) already arise in elementary models that only describe how people exchange goods (a pure exchange model).

Am example of “simple models” is an economy of 3 goods.

TLDR: all bets are off 😉

  1. https://www.ams.org/notices/199502/saari.pdf

echo February 28, 2024 1:48 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/feb/28/tax-hotline-allows-mps-and-vips-to-skip-the-queues-at-hmrc

As a report found that customer service levels at HMRC have sunk to an “all-time low”, with users regularly encountering long call-waiting times, it has emerged that certain individuals are able to beat the queues by using a little-known fast-track helpline called “Public Department 1” (PD1).

[…]

An HMRC spokesperson said: “PD1 is a dedicated helpline for those who need a greater level of protection due to their identity or job. It has nothing to do with people’s wealth.”

They added that PD1 records were held separately, with only a small number of staff able to access them, and there were usually seven people answering calls to this helpline.

I use them. Maybe I was lucky but I’ve never had to wait longer than two minutes if that. If I recall the last call took about maybe 20 seconds to answer.

The department has a lower number of staff and deals with a relatively large and fluctuating number of people allowed to access them. If I recall the number accurately about 50,000 a month come off and come onto the service as people expire and new people are added. For security reasons it is separate to the rest of the system. If there’s a leak it’s a small number of people to investigate and, yes, they will be fired and prosecuted. I have no knowledge of their vetting and recruitment process, or whether it’s a separate possibly access controlled area.

It’s not just MP’s and VIP’s but includes people with an individual or collective public profile who might be at risk. There’s obviously going to be a higher risk of fraud, death threats and kidnapping, public order incidences or breaches of privacy by the media, and so on. It can be embarrassing or invasive, or end your career, or if you’re traveling in a “hot” country perhaps get you raped or killed.

One of the biggest fears of the Met (or City of London police) they hate shouting about isn’t external threats such as the internet but staff being compromised. Seven is easier to filter and keep an eye on than a hundred.

That said Madame does like using the “VIP” line. Have you ever used the “other” line? Flipping heck… Thank the God’s for hands free. Brrr. Never again.

echo February 28, 2024 2:19 PM

@Clive

Neither are true except in your Walter Mitty mind.

True and verifiable. I wouldn’t say this if it wasn’t. Maybe a year ago or more I asked you to stop slagging coders off. There was a discussion which you refused to participate in. Other people did agree but let it go. I didn’t. You also accused me of making stuff up about my LGBT credentials. I’m not posting my personal life on the internet and you got your answer as far as I was prepared to go. It was already more than you deserved. The “sixty pages of links” was research notes related to other things I have since moved on from. Sometimes when things happen they happen fast and none of the material is anything you are expert in. I was sorting my notes as more information came in.You got maybe 20% of the signal on here out of the particular noise.

Given my comments on the broader security context and LGBT issues and watching Judith Butler videos the question is why would I go to those lengths just to make something up?

I’m not saturation bombing. As I said I was upset this week and especially frustrated. You could if you want “get it” or take an interest or find a way to articulate it for other people who have a purely “industry standard technical view” but you won’t. Seriously, Clive. How do you think it feels when we see another LGBT child die because of bad actors, or assaults on rights, or being targeted? Do you know what it’s like to read through far right filth to get a nugget of information? Do you know what it’s like to see friends die because some random in a suit wants to score a point on television? Do you know what it’s like to be living through a slow motion genocide or know people are going to jail just because of who they are? Do you know what it’s like to be screaming about this when the world doesn’t want to hear you? Do you know what it’s like to be up against state level actors and billionaires and people with real power and influence who want to see you and your kind eradicated from the face of the earth?

And you’re constantly ripping off my material or talking over me when it suits you including areas which effect me but don’t effect you (women’s rights being one), or outright making unjustified and deeply unpleasant remarks, or using your status to inflict indirect social violence on me.

I don’t have a fixation on you nor am I trophy hunting. I just find you perfectly insufferable not just for your attitude but your deliberate ignorance and misinforming people.

I don’t say I talk rubbish about security in general because I know I’m not talking nonsense and I don’t need your permission to have an opinion.

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 4:52 PM

@ Moderator, please do not remove this or @echo’s comment which it is a critique of. Because others need to be aware for their safety / well being and protection of reputation

@ echo,

You really should stop your nonsense.

I said software developers and coders should not call themselves engineers as in the most cases they followed artisanal not engineering practices and amongst other technical reasons demonstrated this with “design patterns” an artisanal guild / trade “secret” culture going back oh about as long as we’ve had the wheel.

The fact that,

“I’m still waiting for you to apologise for slagging off coders which is the the cause of your throwing a snot.”

Is patently not true, it was you that got the snot on… as evidenced, I really don’t know how many times now, but here again incrementing the count. It is clearly you not me that has the snot and it is a problem for you to try and explain without false accusations.

But with regard,

“There was a discussion which you refused to participate in. Other people did agree but let it go.”

And I ask,

“What legal standing do these others hold?”

Because you’ve certainly demonstrated you have no knowledge of the law with respect to this. Despite you claims about belittling and embarrassing lawyers/barristers in your Boots low cost lipstick and a tight dress.

For your information and developers / coders as well.

In increasing numbers of places around the world it is an offence that carries both fines, property loss, and in some cases incarceration to call yourself an engineer unless you have been registered as an ‘Engineer’ in that jurisdiction.

It’s not just by qualification and registration but as with other formal professions by registering with a legislatively approved body and having recognised and verified professional standing. Which I suspect you and most developers / coders can not show at all. In the UK the “British Computer Society”(BCS) were upto trying to get this back in the 1990’s if not earlier, likewise the IEE. Thankfully they failed for various reasons, and you can read down to why I thought their failure back then, and still think today it was a good thing they failed.

And CS and similar degrees they are often not sufficient as they don’t in the most part have the required relevant “Professionalism” education and examination. Which means you have to get extended standing with the Required Professional body and that takes quite some time as a “grunt worker” maybe ten years and being 35 or older…

So good luck on explaining your way out of that.

Why do I know this, well it goes back to my professional work encouraging women into STEM. I’m against Professional bodies with legal powers of distraint over who can and can not “practice professionally” because all to often it is a discrimination / toe the party line process, and as I know all to well women get discriminated against. Those “glass ceilings” appear just as they do in Law, Medicine, and Accounting oh and the worst offender of the lot religion.

So we get on to this gem of yours,

“I just find you perfectly insufferable not just for your attitude but your deliberate ignorance and misinforming people.

Right, who is misinforming whom here yet again?

I’ll make it easy and say “not me”.

If you expect me to apologise for what is both technically and legally true then you have your head screwed on the wrong way.

With regards,

“You also accused me of making stuff up about my LGBT credentials.”

I actually pointed out that what you were saying was not self consistent with other things you had said and thus was questionable.

Now if you don’t like that then stop making stuff up as you clearly are here again.

As for,

“I’m not posting my personal life on the internet”

You’ve already done way to much of that for most to stomach already. A point I made the other day about what people could assume from your own words about lipsticks and clothing you wear…

You should listen when people are trying to tell ever so gently that you are setting entirely the wrong impression of yourself. What am I supposed to say “Oi Hussy” or worse?

Talking about make me laugh,

“none of the material is anything you are expert in.

There you go making assumptions for the how oftenth time over how many years now?

The fact I don’t talk about many many things others regard me as expert in on this blog is simply because it’s mostly not relevant to the blog or I have duties of non disclosure at all sorts of levels from NDA to OSA.

But do you want me explaining why you do a scarf joint in a particular way? How about the correct ratios of resin to hardener at what temperature for GRP and when to use woven roving or chop strand mat, or paper or glass rope? How about the when and how of charging LiPo batteries and why you should not leave EV’s out charging on winter nights? How about how to cure and smoke meats cheeses and vegetables? What about the finer points of charcuterie and offal? The list goes on and on. How about how to work out orbital mechanics from a hoop and Pythagoras? All things I’ve not just mentioned here but actually taught people and got them through professional examinations.

And before you make some dumb comment, like “so you think your smart” or some such. I know many people that are a lot smarter than me, but I don’t “name drop them” unless it’s professionally relevant and I don’t mention the personal connection if there is one. It’s called “good etiquette” and it’s part of expected “Professional Behaviour”.

<

blockquote>”How do you think it feels when we see another LGBT child die because of bad actors, or assaults on rights, or being targeted?

<

blockquote>

Why “LGBT only? How about pre teen girls pushed into being repeatedly gang raped in Manchester and surrounding areas? Others girls who are not even ten dying because their own mothers or relatives circumcise them with razor blades?

How about the two year old boy who died a horrible death of dehydration and malnutrition over Xmas – New Year, because his proud to be a father had a heart attack and died and those who new the father had high health risks were two busy jollying it up to make the checks they should have been making?

Then how about those young girls and their mothers being deliberately targeted in Gaza that number tens of thousands?

I could go on but these are just some of the things I’ve mentioned discretely in the past on this blog…

Am I to assume you take the Stalin view of one death being a tragedy but greater numbers just being a statistic?

I could keep on ripping just your single message apart, line by line. But then it would become just a “blood sport” for others to stomach, and I’m not cruel like that. Thus I think I’ve made sufficient point for others to see what you are in your own words. Such that in the future they can reference back here and other places… Should you switch your focus onto others as seems probable.

Maybe you should consider the difference between the message and the messenger and how that relates to you?

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 5:20 PM

@ bl5q sw5N, JG5,

Re : Econodmics and chaotic processes.

“Am example of “simple models” is an economy of 3 goods.

If I understand you right…

Take orbital mechanics, you can work out with the 3D visualisation of a hoop and Pythagoras’ little algorithm the solution to a two body problem.

However nobody as far as I’m aware has extended it reliably to a three body problem.

Even adding in Einstein’s views on time etc makes the two body problem a delight of nightmares.

The fact that economics is not a science as it’s not repeatable and goes only from cause to effect is just one primary hurdle you have to clear.

Another is the alleged economic axioms really are just assumptions based on the problem of “entities with agency” is another hurdle.

Then there are axioms that are missing like “distance costs” metric that causes some markets to apparently be open and others not.

I could go on but…

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 6:20 PM

@ Bruce, ALL,

Re : This is new…

The European Parliament revokes Amazon lobbyist passes

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-68428536

Whilst the reason might appear minor, the fact is that the European Parliament, is getting sick and tired of Silicon Valley Tech Mega Corps and their ways.

So this maybe the start of a trend that spreads.

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 6:34 PM

@ ALL,

The BBC is popping out a fair amount of tech news, this might amuse,

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-68412620

As I noted when Google Gemini and “Woke” came up the solution would be hard for various reasons.

OK the Technology is getting it wrong in many ways…

But

“It does not have eyes to see!”

Nor other senses.

echo February 28, 2024 6:56 PM

@Clive

Oh, Clive do give over. I’m wise to your tricks. I’ve explained plenty on more than one occasion to which you had ample opportunity to understand and respond to at the time and I am not repeating myself. I’m not going to comment on your appeals to framing to impress the gullible, or manufactured authority, or weaponised pedantry or a “Fisking” as you like to call it, or throwing in kitchen sink counter examples to try and guilt me into a response, or after the event claims I’m supposed to be a mind reader of, or implied appeals for engagement when you stopped engaging professionally and civilly a long time ago. Life is short enough and who needs the emotional labour?

As for your trademark personal insults I have dealt with you before when you insulted me on the basis of one humorous hyperbolic throwaway comment. The fact you would persist is entirely on you. Like the rest of the material it’s not worth repeating myself and certainly not when you’re being as ignorant and graceless and misogynistic as this.

If you think a purple faced male rage fueled assault with all the trimmings is going to have an effect it won’t. Be a hero not a heel, Clive.

Now I am annoyed with you but I read something else this evening which will make me sleep better tonight and I have some social activities in my diary. No it’s nothing special but it makes me happy. I’m spending time thinking about and planning for that. It’s a much better use of my time.

bl5q sw5N February 28, 2024 7:13 PM

@ Clive Robinson

the alleged economic axioms really are just assumptions based on the problem of “entities with agency”

As you say, the quantitative-behavioral principles of economics are highly disputed. You might be interested in [1].

Saari only wants to show that even if one were to accept the “standard model” of rational utility for economic dynamics, the behavior is not what was expected with stable prices etc.

As only elementary concepts are used, one might anticipate only well-behaved properties to emerge. But, as already promised, this is not true.

Fun fact: Saari wrote a nice book on celestial dynamics [2].

  1. https://www.amazon.com/Dynamics-Markets-New-Financial-Economics/dp/0521429625
  2. Collisions, Rings, and other Newtonian N-body Problems AMS, 2005

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 7:34 PM

The problem had been “neutralised”, now that foreign interference laws could be used against them.

‘https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/feb/28/australian-politician-sold-out-to-foreign-regime-after-being-recruited-by-spies-asio-boss-says

Free tip:

dull as in not sharp, insensitive, obtuse, pointless, unsharpened

backward, besotted, brainless, daffy, daft, dense, dim-witted, doltish, feeble-minded, half-baked, ignorant, imbecilic, indolent, insensate, moronic, not bright, numskulled, scatterbrained, simple-minded, stolid, thick, unintellectual, vacuous, wearisome, witless

‘https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-29/unnamed-traitor-politician-question-loyalty-joe-hockey/103525666

(something we could all be accused of sometimes)

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 8:12 PM

@JohnKnowsNothing, @Clive, @ALL

Disappointing that politicians have not worked together to set up incentives that encourage efficient housing during construction. It’s very affordable to insulate a building during construction and generally pays for itself in as little as a year.

Net-Zero buildings can pay for the enhancement in less than a decade. Within reason.

Of course sub-standard dwellings are a great way to burden the public with health problems, added expenses, they burn well, and rot and crumble due to flooding, rising damp and mold.

Flood plains are a great place to permanently trap people in such sub-standard dwellings.

Now a (witless or pointless) question. How do you stop a robot with a large haul of explosives tunneling under a town? I suspect there is something wrong with the language input.

We were trying to explain to the robot that it was our community (or my/mine), and it set off on it’s merry way to destroy it.

mine (v.2) “dig under foundations to undermine them” (late 14c.) or, “lay explosives”

shaft (v.) late 14c., of the sun, “to send out long, low beams,” from shaft (n.1). The modern colloquial sense of “treat cruelly and unfairly” is by 1958, perhaps with suggestion of sodomy. Related: Shafted; shafting.

‘https://www.etymonline.com/search?q=mine+shaft

Latin communitatem “was merely a noun of quality … meaning ‘fellowship, community of relations or feelings’ “, but in Medieval Latin it came to be used concretely to mean “a society, a division of people.” …from the Old French comunité

or the Old English gemænscipe (ye-man-she-pay)

From Proto-West Germanic **gamainiskapi*, equivalent to ġemǣne +‎ -sċipe. Cognate with Dutch gemeenschap and German Gemeinschaft.

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 8:50 PM

To answer Joe’s question, it was completely legal at the time Joe. Despite long being warned that they were the targets of foreign interference and influence, current and former serving politicians saw no need to think through the implications, and then design, debate and introduce legislation that might curtail such foreign interference activities.

Hence the newly introduced laws were not well designed (like the robot above):

“For over a century, Australian law accepted foreign influence in our politics.”

Our national election act, despite years of debate, still lacks expenditure limits and donation limits. The US, UK, New Zealand, Canada and most Australian states have one or both of these limits. Nor do we regulate misleading political ads at the national level.

Any risk of inappropriate overseas influence in the election affects all sides.

‘https://law.uq.edu.au/article/2022/02/rushed-foreign-interference-laws-ignore-domestic-political-problems

When foreign individuals or powers covertly seek to influence our politics and this has a detrimental impact on our interests (or benefits the interests of the foreign power), this is foreign interference. (If the perpetrator was in Australia at the time they engaged in interference, only then could they be prosecuted.)

‘https://www.crikey.com.au/2024/02/29/asio-mike-burgess-foreign-interference-parliament-guide/

Clive Robinson February 28, 2024 9:18 PM

@ echo

“being as ignorant and graceless and misogynistic as this.”

Do you actually know what the words,

1, ignorant,
2, graceless,
3, misogynistic.

Actually mean?

Or are they just things you throw out by rote when your gaslighting attempts fail to work and you get called on it?

As I said,

“Messenger or the message”

In this case it would appear to be a failure of both you and your message…

You’ve faked it up again with more easily seen nonsense which would appear to be beyond comprehension.

Clearly your ability to learn appears to be on the wrong side of zero currently.

But you at least managed to make one piece of sense with,

“I have some social activities in my diary. No it’s nothing special but it makes me happy. I’m spending time thinking about and planning for that. It’s a much better use of my time.”

I would suggest you make a lot more “better use” of your time, and I suspect many would agree that you should go away and do that especially if as you say “it makes me happy”

Just think how many other people you would make happy by you just going away and fiddling endlessly with your diary as you call it.

JG5 February 28, 2024 10:28 PM

@bl5q sw5N

Thanks. Totally agree that these systems have unknown and literally unknowable dynamics. With that said, their models are better than our models.

I thought that I had posted a link to this talk, which went from dynamics of anti-aircraft hardware to dynamics of supply chains.

Frequently wrong, but never in doubt.

https://www.google.com/search?q=site%3Aschneier.com+%22jay+forrester%22
About 1 results (0.18 seconds)

JG4 • April 2, 2019 8:00 AM
https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2019/03/friday_squid_bl_670.html/#comment-334400

I’m pretty sure that I posted Jay Forrester’s dinner talk about his on the job training in the south Pacific.

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=jay+forrester+%22the+beginning+of+system+dynamics%22&t=h_&ia=web

The Beginning of System Dynamics – static.clexchange.org
http://static.clexchange.org/ftp/documents/system-dynamics/SD1989-07BeginningofSD.pdf
Jay W. Forrester Germeshausen Professor Emeritus Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A. Banquet Talk at the international meeting of the System Dynamics Society Stuttgart, Germany … the beginning of system dynamics.

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 11:52 PM

To the layperson, an advertising ID is a string of gibberish.

‘https://www.wired.com/story/how-pentagon-learned-targeted-ads-to-find-targets-and-vladimir-putin/

(the following will not aid in solving any of the above problems)

A new DNS layer fragmentation solution for integrating post-quantum cryptography in DNSSEC over UDP…

In a typical network, any DNS message exceeding the recommended size of 1232 bytes would 1) either be fragmented into several UDP/IP packets 2) or require a re-transmission over TCP. Unfortunately, IP fragmentation is considered unreliable and a non-trivial number of nameservers do not support TCP.

($) ‘https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-51583-5_4

Unilateral Opportunistic Deployment of Encrypted Recursive-to-Authoritative DNS
(experimental — not an Internet Standards Track specification)

‘https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/rfc9539/

Opportunistic TCP

The idea behind ‘opportunistic’ TCP is to first try all DNS queries from a DNS resolver to the authoritative server via TCP. If the TCP query fails, retry the same query over UDP (today’s standard) and mark this server in the cache as ‘UDP only’.

‘https://blog.apnic.net/2022/12/13/ip-fragmentation-and-the-dns-mitigation/

“LTE networks simply might not support fragmented queries over UDP.”

(there is probably more going on here in this implementation)

‘https://github.com/DNSCrypt/dnscrypt-proxy/discussions/2020

ResearcherZero February 28, 2024 11:58 PM

A bit of history on the issue:

‘https://blog.apnic.net/2021/06/16/are-large-dns-messages-falling-to-bits/

At least 14% (RedHat EL5 and EL6, Ubuntu 14.04 and 16.04) of all authoritative DNS servers seen in this study were vulnerable to ICMP-based MTU spoofing attacks, which could be misused to launch subsequent DNS fragmentation attacks.

DNS messages now additionally carry digital signatures (and in some cases, public keys as well).

The fact that the Linux kernel lowers the path MTU is not a security issue (it is mandated by the IPv4 Internet Standards). Only in combination with the DNS does it become a security threat. But because it is not a security threat alone, there is no CVE and no patch for these older Linux systems.

‘https://www.bsi.bund.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/BSI/Publikationen/Studien/Frag-DNS/Frag-DNS-Studie.html

The DNS flag day 2020 proposed resolver operators to configure their EDNS0 buffer sizes to 1,232 bytes.

…In-network fragmentation is still present at 4.4% for IPv4.

‘https://labs.ripe.net/author/giovane_moura/fragmentation-truncation-and-timeouts-are-large-dns-messages-falling-to-bits/

“approximately 97% of all IPv4 and 93% of all IPv6 fragmented responses came from domains signed with DNSSEC”

‘https://blog.apnic.net/2022/09/21/ip-fragmentation-and-the-dns-the-state-of-ip-fragmentation/

“The problem with UDP is that large responses run the risk of not arriving a their destinations { which can ultimately lead to un-reachability. However, it remains unclear how much of a problem these large DNS responses over UDP are in the wild.”

‘https://www.sidnlabs.nl/downloads/4e5otgyyJap464iRzmZeN9/47f08b1511627967ff2280f014e0ff23/Fragmentation__truncation__and_timeouts_are_large_DNS_messages_falling_to_bits.pdf

ResearcherZero February 29, 2024 12:30 AM

This probably covers things like disabling telnet one would imagine, and using something more secure.

EdgeRouter Hardening Guide

‘https://networkjutsu.com/edgeos-cli-introduction/

‘https://arstechnica.com/security/2024/02/github-besieged-by-millions-of-malicious-repositories-in-ongoing-attack/

Update made available for older, out of license on-premises releases. ConnectWise is urging customers to apply the update.

‘https://www.connectwise.com/company/trust/security-bulletins/connectwise-screenconnect-23.9.8

Ransomware deployment, information stealing and data exfiltration attacks.

‘https://www.trendmicro.com/en_us/research/24/b/threat-actor-groups-including-black-basta-are-exploiting-recent-.html

vet offices, health clinics, and local governments (including attacks against systems related to 911 systems)

‘https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa23-353a

Most attempts have occurred in the US, but scanning and preparations for intrusions are widespread.

‘https://dashboard.shadowserver.org/statistics/iot-devices/visualisation/?date_range=1&vendor=connectwise&type=remote-access&model=screenconnect&dataset=count&limit=1000&group_by=geo&count_as=avg&scale=lin&style=table

ResearcherZero February 29, 2024 1:34 AM

delicate

small, fragile, subtle, or sensitive, easily broken or damaged

Meaning “so fine or tender as to be easily broken” is recorded from 1560s. Meaning “requiring nice and skillful handling” is by 1742.

https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/delicate

Australian intelligence officials had disbanded its operations and helped “unaware” participants extract themselves.

‘https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/pointing-finger-at-ex-mp-traitor-shows-bigger-security-threat-20240229-p5f8pb.html

“I’m particularly conscious that, as parliamentarians, we have to be very careful with our choice of language and very precise in what we mean.”

‘https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/anti-chinese-racism-hinders-efforts-to-counter-foreign-interference-paterson-20210412-p57ikv.html

Of course it could have been done in a way that further entrapped individuals, or became a larger controversy if handled indelicately. For example:

‘https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/australians-deserve-to-know-concerns-over-foreign-interference-warning/video/d4c1d40dc9910265766e0b83292e9d74

Wider concerns

““I am worried that we are less prepared for foreign interference in our elections in 2024 than we were in 2020. The NSA, CISA, ODNI, FBI literally have had no communications with any of the social media platforms on elections … since July of last year, and that ought to scare the hell out of all of us.”

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/27/senate-intel-chair-election-threats-warning-00143522

Clive Robinson February 29, 2024 8:01 AM

@ emily’s post,

Re : Everybody’s Searching, some for PII as benefit for them.

<

blockquote>“It’s crazy but it’s true: Apple rejected Bing for wrong answers about Annie Lennox”

<

blockquote>

I’m not surprised I quickly found the same thing with Bing and stuck with Google.

Then when Google went and “queered the pitch” by insisting on JavaScript being enabled for everything I dropped them, and went with the vastly inferior DuckDuck. However DuckDuck did a deal with Micro$haft to use bing by default… Talk about not scraping the bottom of the barrel but shooting right through at terminal velocity and not stopping…

All I can say is “what a disaster and descending” at an ever increasing rate… Especially as Bing now has AI included as part of Micro$hafts make money from,

“More intensive surveillance on citizens than even the NSA plans”

Along with the other usual suspects. Like Palantir trying to be better than the CIA, FBI, and all Law Enforcement in the whole of North America all in one. Also, all the credit rating agencies, and obviously all the Data Brokers and their more scummy clients through out not just the First World but increasing parts of the Second World, that have little or no data protection legislation, and in some cases see PII collection and processing as a way to economically “catch up”.

I know people are thinking I’m being paranoid again over my view that,

“AI is the most dangerous surveillance tool so far seen in public”

But my supposed past paranoias have unfortunately all been shown to be true given a little time. I was just way ahead on the curve because I’m paranoid 😉

No actually really kind of worse than that and way more serious. Because I actively think when looking at any and all things and systems,

“How can I use this for harm or be harmed by others with it.”

Sounds paranoid, even psychopathic, but the hard reality is it’s the first step of “situational awareness” and what our host @Bruce used to call “thinking hinky”. As he has effectively noted as well,

“If you can not break it, then how do you expect to make it both secure and trustworthy?”

Arguably you can do neither unless you can first “Prove it’s Secure” and the first step of doing that is,

“How can I use this…”

And as history shows what I was advising people they should avoid because it was not just insecure and untrustworthy, but also deliberately made dangerous… unfortunately turned out to be all to true… And my way out whacky paranoid views back then now part of “accepted custom and practice”.

It’s why I say of LLM AI that the business plan Micro$haft and others have is based on the five step “Be-Plan” process of,

Bedazzle, Beguile, Bewitch, Befriend and Betray.

But more on that in a moment 😉

Firstly an aside, many many years ago Annie Lennox bumped into me quite literally[1] as she was scooting out of a music studio backdoor for a break/fresh air. She gave me a bright and apologetic smile then zoomed off. Me I just stood there well to be honest I had a little crush on her.

It happens to me a lot[1], and over the years I’ve identified two types of people that do it (at either end of the spectrum),

1, Those that are literally driven by the passion of “making” and are just getting from A to B fast so they can be ever more creative. They often vibrate with pent up urge to “do do do” and they are almost always nice about the bump regardless of fault.

2, Then there are those that are totally “me me me” without other consideration. They are so self absorbed and thus self entitled they put their consumption not creation over all things. They are almost never nice or polite they go into “blame game” fight mode almost instantly.

Thus the latter quite often walk into their own doom under the front wheels of a bus or similar…

Which brings me onto,

https://www.theregister.com/2024/02/27/apple_autonomous_car_cancelled/

Not only did I suspect it would happen quite some time ago, I have given what sounds to some like an “off the wall” reason and it’s to do not with AI “Large Language Model”(LLM) use but AI “Machine Learning”(ML) dynamic knowledge building.

Put over simply the AI is “not seeing and touching the world”. That is it has no physical agency to observe and learn correlations and test / prove them as it want’s too (by some odd definition of “want” from stochastic rule building and the like).

In short “self driving ain’t going anywhere till it can freely go somewhere and gather/analyse knowledge as it goes”.

Which in an odd way brings us back to this,

https://www.theregister.com/2024/02/28/google_microsoft_cloud_eu/

It’s not just in the EU this is going on. Google earned it’s money by surveillance via various things it developed –then dropped– early on but stuck with “search engines” as it’s core. In part this “try-n-drop” that has almost always ended up benefiting the “search engine” side of the business came about because I guess Google intrinsically realised that “physical agency” is the most important bound that has to be broken. Almost everything it now does can be seen as directly for the search engine or for the various AI that feeds into the search engine.

It’s something people need to stop and think on… Google got into Mil-Drone development because it paid the bills for getting “eyes in the skies” to enhance it’s knowledge collection. After all why pay humans to steer the instruments if you can get $10-50 of electronics to do it?

The answer is “untrustworthy, insecure, and dangerous”. Humans remove these issues in one way or the other and the “chocolate box” remains pristine and unblemished.

[1] For some reason I tend to be invisible to people and they bump and bounce even if I’m not moving. It’s not just famous people, although Tom Baker (Dr Who actor) was possibly one of the most gracious back a third of a century ago. He and I bounced in the doorway of the old Foyles Bookshop. On dusting down he immediately apologised and started chatting as though we were good aquaintances and he said we could both do with a drink and so we disappeared off to a little drinking club where other famous people were informal and being normal, and were quite OK with a new face to help the mission along. We bumped into each other again through somebody else I’d metaphorically bumped into in an Islington book shop. An author who would rather be doing something techy than write in that way we were kind of kindred spirits. You know of him as Douglas adams and at this time of year my thoughts can not help but turn in his direction. As he was turning forty and I was turning thirty he very kindly invited me to his birthday bash. Where “occupying the bottle side of the bar in mega expansive mode was Tom Baker, his misses Lala Ward, and quite a few other celebs and intellectuals one of whom was Richard Dawkins with whom I had an interesting chat. He made an observation about me that I wish I’d followed, it was to be less unassuming and become more abuzz and zoom through life grasping what ever would pull me forward. The reason, I did not… Is I’m most happy being curious and thinking hinky, and thereby helping others. Think of it as the Open Source version of lifting the tide so all boats ride more easily (yes I know some one will cry “socialist” or similar but what does that say about their understanding of the world?).

echo February 29, 2024 8:13 AM

https://www.thepinknews.com/2024/02/28/ohio-man-pees-lgbtq-pride-flag-home/

“Columbus is diverse and tolerant, and we celebrate our LGBTQ+ community. Hate has no home here, and as long as I’m city attorney, we will continue to aggressively prosecute hate and bias crimes.”

And:

https://www.mediamatters.org/education/oklahoma-superintendent-ryan-walters-campaigned-influencer-rejected-school-system-video

State Superintendent Ryan Walters, who has vowed not to “back down to woke mobs” after the death of transgender sophomore Nex Benedict raised questions about the impact of anti-trans rhetoric on Oklahoma schools, once attended a fundraiser thrown by a right-wing podcaster deemed unfit to work in Owasso Public Schools. The podcaster was rejected from employment in part because of public statements he made encouraging his daughters to “kick the shit” out of transgender peers trying to use the restroom.

I don’t know the exact ins and outs of US law but I am curious how you can have such wildly divergent people in official positions. “Freedom of speech” is not absolute and officials do have oaths to uphold as well as policies and other law.

For those “security professionals” who like to go on about abuse of power and thumbs on the scales and bubble up attacks, and social engineering and so on and so forth I’m curious why their brains seem incapable of applying their skills and knowledge in different contexts. But apparently I talk “twaddle”.

I heard a comment last night from a US Democrat politician (who was also a lawyer) who said the constitution needed updating to prevent legally chaotic attacks from people like the Orange **** Gibbon et al. (The UK has similar holes in its constitutional arrangements.) It’s pretty obvious in my mind that *this system and *that system are both systems and the same hierarchy of principles apply. And yes there’s a lot of formal and informal filters such as misogyny (and racism and ageism and ableism and LGBT phobia etcetera) and media framing which act as layers obscuring this. It gets complex and has been legacy ego inflated to the point where you need fives PhDs to even enter the discussion but is really quite simple.

  • UK security services have publicly stated that infiltration of institutions by the far right is a problem. Also more people have been killed by far right domestic terrorists than theoretical swarthy immigrants of “military age”.
  • What’s happening in the UK (and US) is abuse of power, infiltration, and radicalisation by far right aligned bad actors. Neoliberalism and Brexit are forms of financial power and othering. It’s no different from all that foot stamping Evangelical authoritarianism and border issue.
  • All this is in the context of a race for time to secure their position before they get rumbled, kicked out, or they are overtaken by the demographic curve.

If anyone cannot see this is a valid security discussion they’re being ignorant. If they can’t see that human rights is part of security discussion then, technically, that’s bigoted.

If I was Bruce (which I’m not) I’d get on with succession planning. I’d invite guest experts from different fields and internationally too. Once that is established rebrand as a security-human rights platform. Then take a step back and hand everyday running over to a collective. There’s loads of people working in a security-human rights contexts of all backrgounds and internationally.

https://www.gloucestershirelive.co.uk/news/cheltenham-news/gchq-seeks-permission-fly-transgender-8961555

The application to the borough council reads: “The proposal is in addition to generally using the two flag poles for permitted national flags of countries… to widen the use to any other relevant groups or interest. This may include, for example, the Progress Pride Flag, the Transgender Flag, Autism Pride or indeed any other combination of two flags as to which is deemed suitable on site.”

Like, GCHQ do this. Most old men of a certain age (i.e. the patriarchy) won’t get this themselves and, yes, although I generally like the Pride flag it did take me a long time to accept the Progress Pride flag but they have to ask what it means for people. When people see that people like them are accepted it means the world to them. They know that people like them can do it. That’s an investment in the next generation.

JonKnowsNothing February 29, 2024 4:32 PM

@All

re: Y2K 2024 still ticking

HAIL Warning

MSM report that

  • Self-pay gas station pumps break across NZ as software can’t handle Leap Day

A representative for [the company], when prompted via Facebook to “maybe remember Leap Day in four years’ time,” responded:

We’ll add it to our Outlook reminders

Like any good race condition, ignoring it works, as it only happens every 4 years. They could declare a No Pay Holiday and get Great PR.

===

HAIL Warning

http s://arstec hnica.com/gadgets/2024/02/leap-year-glitch-broke-self-pay-pumps-across-new-zealand-for-over-10-hours/

Clive Robinson February 29, 2024 5:51 PM

@ JonKnowsNothing, ALL,

Re : Y2K 2024 still ticking

There is actually no excuse for it after all the last digit of the year “4” tells you it’s a leap year this year and likewise “8” in 2028…

I feel sorry for Pope Gregory that put all the effort into designing the orbit correction around a simple rule that should last centuries.

“Is the year divisible by four, if it is, then it’s a leap year unless the year is divisible by 400, in which case it’s not.”

You can rework it to,

“Divide year by four is there a carry? If not then it’s a leap year unless the last two digits are zeros then it’s not.”

That will work fine for quite a while, by which time actual orbital changes may change the rules.

Currently a year is increasing in length most years, due to precession giving wobble and the Earth slowing down giving an increasing accumulation. Over the four centuries of the Gregorian system, about a thousand seconds needs to be averaged in, in some manner. Until relatively recently the differences were corrected by “leap seconds” that could be both positive or negative.

Unfortunately our use of time in computer networks does not like negative seconds so “changes are a foot” as is only half jokingly said. (Light travels about 1ft in a nanosecond, and these days the nanosecond is the network basic time granularity).

You might have heard of Julian dates. That are a fixed number of seconds irrespective of the Earths orbit. This is because their real use is for calculating distance in “light years” and similar.

A few years back now when permanent habitation of Mars became more than SciFi I did some orbital time calculations to see if there was any easy rules for calculating relative daylight times needed to ensure satellite antenna / communications lasers etc are pointing correctly… The simple answer is “just let the computer do it” using Fourier techniques.

lurker February 29, 2024 6:48 PM

JonKnowsNothing, Clive Robinson

Pay-At-Pump EFTPOS is a new thing in NZ, many of the machines are post-covid. Previously gas stations used pre-pay at a manned kiosk. This failure affected both major wholesale fuel distributors, the market must be so small only one payment system vendor was involved who uses the Elbonian calendar. And it affected only pay-at-pump, or unnattended pump stations.

For some reason the pay-at-pump system was a separate vendor tack-on: p-a-p pumps have frequently in the past rejected my good and valid card, and the operator in the shop has been able to easily handle the transaction on their main system, with jocular comments about p-a-p really being a pup.

bl5q sw5N February 29, 2024 11:20 PM

@ JonKnowsNothing @ Clive Robinson

Re: Does Anybody Really Know What Time It Is?

This is your guide:

Edward M. Reingold and Nachum Dershowitz. Calendrical Calculations. Cambridge University Press; 4th edition (April 27, 2018)

JonKnowsNothing March 1, 2024 12:29 AM

@Clive, All

re: Unfortunately our use of time in computer networks does not like negative seconds so “changes are a foot” as is only half jokingly said. (Light travels about 1ft in a nanosecond, and these days the nanosecond is the network basic time granularity).

[Grace] Hopper became known for her nanoseconds visual aid. People (such as generals and admirals) used to ask her why satellite communication took so long. She started handing out pieces of wire that were just under one foot long—11.8 inches (30 cm)—the distance that light travels in one nanosecond. She gave these pieces of wire the metonym “nanoseconds.

At many of her talks and visits, she handed out “nanoseconds” to everyone in the audience…

she passed out packets of pepper, calling the individual grains of ground pepper picoseconds.

===

ht tps://en .wikipedia.org/wiki/Grace_hopper

  • Grace Brewster Hopper (née Murray; December 9, 1906 – January 1, 1992) was an American computer scientist, mathematician, and United States Navy rear admiral. One of the first programmers of the Harvard Mark I computer, she was a pioneer of computer programming. Hopper was the first to devise the theory of machine-independent programming languages, and the FLOW-MATIC programming language she created using this theory was later extended by others to create COBOL, an early high-level programming language still in use today.

Clive Robinson March 1, 2024 1:37 AM

@ ALL,

Fire out of control in Texas

I’m not surprised this has happend but I’m shocked at the size and how it was allowed to get that size.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-68428496

A rapidly spreading Texas wildfire has killed one person, forced residents to evacuate, cut off power to homes and businesses, and briefly paused operations at a nuclear facility.

It has burned 1.1 million acres north of the city of Amarillo – making it the second-largest fire in US history.

Apparently it is at best only 3% contained so has already spread and crossed the state border into Oklahoma.

That nuclear facility mentioned is where weapons are “serviced”.

Then I saw this,

Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued a disaster declaration for 60 counties.

And I remembered his previous lackluster behaviour and comments when Texas lost power and those in charge simply headed “south of the boarder” like old time banditos. No doubt we will hear a new round of victim blaming as a cover story for the failure to adequately resource and perform “required preventative maintenance.

When you read,

Dry grass, high temperatures and strong winds have fuelled the blaze

The first question you should ask is about the dry grass. Yes there are reasons to allow grass to grow long such as for farming, but it should be correctly managed for fire hazard prevention, which includes “Fire Breaks”. That is where you actively keep tracts of land free of flammable build up in wide enough swathes that fire can not jump and also provide usable access if fire does start so it can quickly be brought under control.

As for “the weather” well this increase in range is kind of predicted with ongoing climate change.

It’s made worse with “high intensity agriculture” that runs on the neo-con mantra of

“Not leaving money on the floor.”

Which translated means

1, Fire breaks are unused land resources not earning money.
2, Maintaining Fire breaks is a high cost without short term return.

The result of such thinking is “Go for a double win” with “Don’t do fire prevention”.

As California found with PG&E such a policy results in “wildfire” major property damage, litigation and massive damages.

It’s an example of what should be the well known dangers of “short term thinking”… Which in other places get legislation and regulation to either prevent or impact reduce.

Expect to see more and more wildfires break out and increased areas of damage as a result. Oh and the inability to be able to get insurance cover against fire even at a personal level.

Clive Robinson March 1, 2024 2:20 AM

@ bl5q sw5N, JonKnowsNothing, ALL

Re: Does Anybody Really Know What Time It Is?

“This is your guide”

Only upto a point.

As I noted yesterday with the difference between a “two body problem” and “three body problem” in orbital mechanics.

The Sun-Earth orbit is actually not a two body problem because the other large planets in the system move the Sun around and also move each other around.

Technically the result is “chaotic” but “bounded” in range. So the length of the Earth year inherits this as a wobble in the Sun-Earth orbit that can not be predicted. Which in turn causes not just the Earth’s position to have “uncertainty” but also the orbit distance thus time.

The way you try to reduce this is by using an entirely different set of analysis tools. That is you do “harmonic analysis” via Fourier Analysis which allows short term prediction.

Put overly simply you assume an orbit is perfectly circular about a fixed point as a first assumption. Thus it has a frequency that has both magnitude and phase. Thus any error is caused by harmonics of the fundamental and you adjust both the phase and amplitude. As the orbits decay over time you adjust the fundamental frequency by adding in a phase and amplitude offset that is assumed to be “constant in trend” over time.

Usually going as far as the fiftieth harmonic is sufficient for the uses of navigating the planetary positions and thus sufficiently accurate navigation of entities on Earth.

The same sort of calculation is done with the various “Global Positioning System”(GPS) satellites “ephemerides” orbit predictions in very near “Real Time”,

https://igs.org/products/

But with other things like both Space and Terrestrial weather as well as geological activity that effect both the Earth’s position but also the hight of the atmosphere thus drag etc incorporated.

Oh and not forgetting “Relativistic” effects of Einstein’s insights.

Clive Robinson March 1, 2024 4:07 AM

@ lurker, JonKnowsNothing, ALL,

Re : Cash works when comms don’t.

“Pay-At-Pump EFTPOS is a new thing in NZ”

You might have heard that the AT&T goofed big style up in the US just a few days back?

Well “comms outages” are as I keep noting are becoming more frequent and having increasingly servere impact on infrastructure.

What few appear to have picked up on is that the change from “cash” to any kind of “electronic payment” is the latter is critically dependent on,

1, Power
2, Communications

Without either all EPOS fails as transactions can not be made (same with OnLine Banking and the like).

Do I need to make predictions of what is certain to happen?

1, Staff layoffs.
2, Cash Payment systems removal
3, Disaster when a rodent bites.

Cash is easily transportable “stored value” plastic cards are most definitely not “stored value” but “remote authentication tokens”.

Failure to understand the difference and nearly every politician does fail to understand this, can only lead to a significant disaster. The only question is “when?”

Can such a disaster be mitigated? Yes but that brings up two questions,

1, How?
2, Who Pays?

With Cash these questions have long been answered and resolved. Importantly the “who pays for the mitigation” with cash it is “all of society”, with EPOS it’s “Not us we ain’t paying there’s no profit in it” by the “market”.

Which means “Legislators” have to enforce it by legislation and regulation and that is something the “market” wastefully pays billions to lobbyists to negate.

As normal it’s the balance of,

“Individual Rights v Social Responsibility”

Something neo-con mantras that are behind stupidly and short sightedly driving US style capitalism want set to only “The rights of the self entitled”…

So you can not say it was not obvious when it happens which it will do…

Clive Robinson March 1, 2024 4:51 AM

@ Bruce, JonKnowsNothing, lurker, ALL,

Re : Snake Oil cashing in on Comms Down.

With regards AT&T’s little self inflicted wound and uninformed journalists incorrectly blaming Solar Flares.

Other more insidious types have noted that when Solar Flares are mentioned it’s often associated with “Coronal Mass Ejections”(CME), and CME’s are often associated with “Electro Magnetic Pulse”(EMP). All three as well as lightning are distinctly different phenomenon.

Thus these insidious types jump on a bandwagon to sell their “snake oil”…

Here is one very recent example,

https://m.youtube.com/shorts/DQH1j3dxwkE

Not to put too finer point on it, it’s actually complete and utter BS of the ripest magnitude thus stinks.

To see why consider,

“If an EMP can take out all protected communications systems as they imply, why would unprotected Amateur / Ham radio equipment survive?”

Especially as just ordinary lightning takes out unprotected “Ham Gear” pretty much all the time.

So folks

“Don’t buy into the bovine excreter”

JonKnowsNothing March 1, 2024 5:49 AM

@Clive, All

re: The first question you should ask is about the dry grass. Yes there are reasons to allow grass to grow long such as for farming, but it should be correctly managed for fire hazard prevention, which includes “Fire Breaks”.

Texas by and large has zero zoning laws. Pretty much none. There can be an oil derrick in your neighbor’s yard or a containment pond across the street. Which is why lots of people with a specific outlook want to live there. That may or may not include the loads of people stuck there.

Old Texas Adage

  • If you don’t like the weather, wait 5 minutes.
  • General Philip Sheridan 1866: “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent Texas and live in Hell.”

As to fire breaks, the problem is on several fronts. I don’t know the Texas rules but I know California rules and we’ve had some huge fires, urban fires and fires on top of fires.

There are rules for a “defensive perimeter” around buildings. Generally in the country side this will be done regularly. In urban areas where people want lots of landscaping and shrubbery that does not happen. In areas like Malibu and the other canyons in LA, mega-buck housing was placed in what is effectively a chimney for common fires that occur regularly.

The mega-buck folks don’t mind too much if the house burns down, they will pay cash to have it re-built, no loans needed. This is the same method used on the Eastern Seaboard Hurricane Alley mega-buck ocean homes. A recent posting was about National Cyber Insurance is based on the scheme used for National Flood Insurance. The vast majority of people wiped out by floods, storms and hurricanes get nothing. The insurance goes into the pockets of the mega-buck folks who simple pull the rest of the cash out of the other pocket to rebuild in the same place knowing that when the Next One Hits, they will just rebuild again.

So people will build in fire inappropriate places.

Standard fires can be stopped with a small amount of back-burning and a quick burn grass fire doesn’t go too far. If the fire comes from spontaneous combustion of too green hay bales that’s a bit harder but the bales (2-5 tons) eventually burn out. The county road system is the main fire break.

But the scale of these fires is huge. The flames reach 50-100ft high. There isn’t any standard fire break that will stop it. In Los Angeles, the fires jump the 10 lane wide freeways.

Which brings up another point about such fires.

Humans have carved up the lands for a variety of uses. This is true in Australia, UK, USA and elsewhere. We rarely pay attention to the historical ecology of an area. Humans just change it to suit ourselves.

The Texas fires are on open prairie lands. These lands would have burned regularly over eons from lightening strikes. The fires would burn from one major river to another. They would burn hot and fast, creating their own wind storm as they sweep across the grasslands. It’s what made the grasses rich for the grazers before humans showed up and the historical left overs is what makes the grass rich for modern cattle ranches.

This same ignorance is what causes the constant fires in Los Angeles. Sometimes LA is referred to as “the valley of smoke”.

These places are intended to burn. The ecology and geology dictate that they should burn regularly. When we do not let it burn, the amount of fuel is too great to control. Nature’s fire breaks are big rivers and cross winds. Nature does not recognize local, state, county or federal boundaries and puny man-made firebreaks.

fib March 1, 2024 6:42 AM

@ Clive

Thus a big chunk of South America is “already prepared” and the loss of mains power will as they don’t have it won’t effect them if there is a significant CME hit and Carrington style event.

Yes, that’s for sure. I meant chiefly the Plata basin/SE SA, the axis São Paulo-Buenos Aires. Completely exposed electric grid. There will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.

fib March 1, 2024 7:04 AM

@ JonKnowsNothing

I hear you, my friend. Nothing to add to your points. I’m paying attention.

Regards.

emily’s post March 1, 2024 9:33 AM

@ Clive Robinson

Put overly simply you assume an orbit is perfectly circular about a fixed point … and you adjust both the phase and amplitude.

I’m loving me some Ptolemaic epicycles 😉

Handy survey and reference in the Talks and Books links at [1].

  1. https://farside.ph.utexas.edu/

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